Braves vs. Cardinals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/7/2022

by | Jul 7, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Atlanta Braves 9 Braves vs. Cardinals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/7/2022

The Atlanta Braves (49-34) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they host the St. Louis Cardinals (44-40) Thursday at 7:20 PM ET. Oddsmakers consider the Braves -218 favorites to extend their streak, while the Cardinals are +179 underdogs looking for the upset. Atlanta’s Spencer Strider gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ Matthew Liberatore.

Braves vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Braves vs Cardinals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Braves -218 +179 9 -114 -106 -1.5 -107 -114

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Cardinals

Our best bet is the Cardinals on the moneyline at +179 after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+179) and Under (9)

Braves vs. Cardinals Game Info

  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore
  • Game Day: Thursday, July 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Strider Liberatore
7 GS 5
4-2 W-L 2-1
3.17 ERA 5.66
59.2 IP 20.2
23 BB 11
90 SO 18

Braves Starter Spencer Strider

  • The Braves will send Strider (4-2) out for his eighth start of the season. He is 4-2 with a 3.17 ERA and 90 strikeouts through 59 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, the righty tossed 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering one hit.
  • The 23-year-old has amassed a 3.17 ERA and 13.6 strikeouts per nine innings across 18 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .175 to his opponents.
  • Strider is looking for his third straight quality start.
  • Strider is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 3.1 innings per appearance on the mound.
  • He will face a Cardinals team that is batting .252 as a unit (sixth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .406 (10th in MLB) with 90 total home runs (13th in MLB).

Cardinals Starter Matthew Liberatore

  • Liberatore (2-1) will take to the mound for the Cardinals and make his sixth start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed seven hits in 2 2/3 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday.
  • The 22-year-old has an ERA of 5.66, a 1.636 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.742 in five games this season.
  • Liberatore has not earned a quality start in five starts this season.
  • In five starts this season, Liberatore has lasted five or more innings two times, with an average of 4.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Braves rank fourth in MLB with 394 runs scored this season. They have a .248 batting average this campaign with 126 home runs (second in the league).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Braves have won 40, or 66.7%, of the 60 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Atlanta has a record of 11-2 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -218 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 40 of 82 chances this season.
  • The Braves are 42-40-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 42 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (42.9%) in those games.
  • St. Louis has played as an underdog of +179 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 35.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of their 85 opportunities.
  • The Cardinals are 45-39-0 against the spread in their 84 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Austin Riley has put up a team-high 21 home runs and 51 runs batted in.
  • Of all batters in MLB, Riley’s home run total places him eighth, and his RBI tally puts him 18th.
  • Riley has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .474 with four doubles, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson’s .295 batting average leads his team.
  • Swanson is 36th in home runs and 21st in RBI in the bigs.
  • Matt Olson is batting .252 with 32 doubles, 12 home runs and 45 walks.
  • Marcell Ozuna is batting .229 with 10 doubles, 17 home runs and 21 walks.
  • Ozuna brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a double, three home runs and three RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Austin Riley 81 .270 .337 .540 21 51 85
Dansby Swanson 83 .295 .352 .492 14 49 93
Matt Olson 83 .252 .345 .467 12 48 80
Marcell Ozuna 79 .229 .280 .428 17 35 70
Travis d’Arnaud 56 .266 .313 .486 11 37 58

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Paul Goldschmidt leads the squad with a batting average of .343, and leads the Cardinals in home runs, with 19 and runs batted in with 65.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Goldschmidt’s home run total is 12th and his RBI tally ranks second.
  • Goldschmidt carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two doubles and two walks.
  • Nolan Arenado is hitting .295 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Arenado is 16th in home runs and 10th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Tommy Edman is hitting .262 with 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks.
  • Brendan Donovan is hitting .293 with 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 29 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Paul Goldschmidt 80 .343 .427 .620 19 65 104
Nolan Arenado 80 .295 .356 .534 17 55 90
Tommy Edman 82 .262 .331 .383 7 32 85
Brendan Donovan 63 .293 .403 .404 2 26 58
Dylan Carlson 65 .247 .312 .405 5 23 56

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