Braves vs. Cardinals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/27/2022

Expect the long ball when Austin Riley (31 HR) and the Atlanta Braves (79-48) take on Paul Goldschmidt (33 HR) and the St. Louis Cardinals (72-54) at Busch Stadium, beginning at 7:15 PM ET. The Braves are -116 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup. Charlie Morton will get the ball for Atlanta while St. Louis counter with Jordan Montgomery.

Braves vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Cardinals

Our best bet is the Cardinals on the moneyline at -103 after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (-103) and Over (7.5)

Braves vs. Cardinals Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Charlie Morton
• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
• Game Day: Saturday, August 27, 2022
• Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Stadium: Busch Stadium

Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Charlie Morton

• Morton makes the start for the Braves, his 25th of the season. He is 6-5 with a 3.99 ERA and 164 strikeouts in 135 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last outing on Sunday against the Houston Astros, the right-hander went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• In 24 games this season, the 38-year-old has an ERA of 3.99, with 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .225 against him.
• Morton is looking for his third quality start in a row.
• Morton will aim to pitch five or more innings for his 16th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
• He will match up with a Cardinals offense that ranks fifth in MLB with 1113 total hits (on a .259 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .427 (fifth in MLB) with 152 total home runs (seventh in MLB).
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 38-year-old ranks 41st in ERA (3.99), 34th in WHIP (1.175), and sixth in K/9 (10.9).

Cardinals Starter Jordan Montgomery

• The Cardinals will hand the ball to Montgomery (7-3) for his 26th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 9 2/3 innings without allowing a run on one hit in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
• The 29-year-old has pitched to a 3.08 ERA this season with 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.7 walks per nine across 25 games.
• He has 11 quality starts in 25 chances this season.
• Montgomery has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Braves are batting .254 this season, eighth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .445 (second in the league) with 190 home runs.
• Among qualified pitchers this year, the 29-year-old’s 3.08 ERA ranks 21st, 1.012 WHIP ranks 12th, and 7.8 K/9 ranks 37th.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won 68, or 70.1%, of the 97 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta is 68-28 this season when entering a game favored by -116 or more on the moneyline.
• The Braves have a 53.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of their 126 opportunities.
• The Braves are 65-61-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cardinals have come away with 25 wins in the 55 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, St. Louis has won 20 of 49 games when listed as at least -103 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 61 of their 129 opportunities.
• The Cardinals have posted a record of 71-57-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Riley has hit a team-high 31 homers.
• Riley ranks fourth in home runs and ninth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Matt Olson has collected 87 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Olson is 11th in home runs in the majors, and fifth in RBI.
• Olson enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with three doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
• Dansby Swanson leads the Braves with a team-best batting average of .290.
• Swanson is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .227 with a double, a walk and five RBI.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .274 with 17 doubles, 10 home runs and 45 walks.
• Acuna takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .318 with a double, two walks and three RBI.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals in home runs (33), runs batted in (105) and has a team-best batting average of .338.
• Among all batters in the majors, Goldschmidt’s home run total ranks third and his RBI tally ranks second.
• Goldschmidt brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Tommy Edman has 21 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 39 walks while batting .254.
• Edman is 159th in homers and 133rd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Dylan Carlson is hitting .243 with 24 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 36 walks.
• Brendan Donovan is batting .300 with 16 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 42 walks.