Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/31/2022

The Atlanta Braves (23-26), led by Austin Riley on a two-game home run streak, are -166 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Arizona Diamondbacks (24-26). First pitch is set for 9:40 PM ET Tuesday, live from Chase Field. Atlanta’s Charlie Morton and Arizona’s Humberto Castellanos have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+142) and Over (9)

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Charlie Morton
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Humberto Castellanos
• Game Day: Tuesday, May 31, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Charlie Morton

• Morton gets the start for the Braves, his 10th of the season. He is 3-3 with a 5.28 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 44 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Wednesday against the Philadelphia Phillies, the right-hander threw 4 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
• The 38-year-old has an ERA of 5.28, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in nine games this season. Opponents are batting .272 against him.
• Morton has one quality start under his belt this season.
• Morton has put up seven starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He will take the mound against a Diamondbacks offense that is batting .216 as a unit (29th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .378 (20th in MLB) with 58 total home runs (sixth in MLB).

Diamondbacks Starter Humberto Castellanos

• Castellanos (3-2) will take to the mound for the Diamondbacks and make his ninth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed 10 hits in four innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.22, a 2.7 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.336 in 10 games this season.
• Castellanos has not earned a quality start in eight starts this season.
• Castellanos has made five starts of five or more innings in eight chances this season, and averages 3.3 frames when he pitches.
• The Braves are batting .231 this season, 23rd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .400 (11th in the league) with 61 home runs.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Braves have won 16 out of the 31 games, or 51.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Atlanta has a record of 7-5, a 58.3% win rate, when favored by -166 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 62.4% chance to win.
• Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 27 of 49 chances this season.
• In 49 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 22-27-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have come away with 21 wins in the 47 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Arizona has come away with a win eight times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +142 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 41.3% chance of walking away with the win.
• Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 24 of their 55 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 33-22-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ozzie Albies is batting .249 with 11 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Albies ranks 58th in homers and 77th in RBI.
• Albies has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .222 with three doubles, a walk and two RBI.
• Riley has shown off his power as he leads his team with 12 home runs and 24 runs batted in.
• Riley is eighth in homers and 47th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Riley carries an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .300 with two doubles, four home runs, a walk and six RBI.
• Matt Olson has 21 doubles, five home runs and 32 walks while batting .249.
• Olson will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with five doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Dansby Swanson’s 24 runs batted in and .263 batting average both pace his team.
• Swanson has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, two walks and an RBI.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker has swatted a team- leading 12 home runs.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Walker’s home run total ranks eighth and his RBI tally ranks 77th.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .259 to lead the lineup.
• Varsho is 37th in homers and 92nd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Ketel Marte is batting .257 with 17 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 15 walks.
• David Peralta is batting .240 with eight doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 18 walks.

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Diamondbacks

After looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +142. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.