Braves vs. Giants Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/12/2022

The Atlanta Braves (87-53) and Michael Harris II (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-179) on the moneyline for their matchup with the San Francisco Giants (67-73) on Monday at 9:45 PM ET. Spencer Strider will get the ball for Atlanta while San Francisco counter with Alex Cobb.

Braves vs. Giants Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Giants

Our best bet is the Giants on the moneyline at +152 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will under the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: San Francisco Giants (+152) and Under (7)

Braves vs. Giants Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
• San Francisco Giants probable starting pitcher: Alex Cobb
• Game Day: Monday, September 12, 2022
• Game Time: 9:45 PM ET
• Location: San Francisco, California
• Stadium: Oracle Park

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Spencer Strider

• The Braves will send Strider (10-4) to the mound for his 19th start of the season. He is 10-4 with a 2.69 ERA and 183 strikeouts through 120 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Oakland Athletics, when he went six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up two hits.
• The 23-year-old has a 2.69 ERA and 13.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 29 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .175 to his opponents.
• Strider is trying to record his fifth straight quality start in this matchup.
• Strider will try to continue a six-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.0 frames per outing).
• He will match up with a Giants squad that is batting .232 as a unit (24th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .390 (17th in MLB) with 160 total home runs (12th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Giants this season, Strider has pitched 3 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on six hits while striking out four.

Giants Starter Alex Cobb

• The Giants will hand the ball to Cobb (5-6) for his 24th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday.
• The 34-year-old has pitched to a 3.68 ERA this season with 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.7 walks per nine across 23 games.
• He has started 23 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in nine of them.
• In 23 starts, Cobb has pitched through or past the fifth inning 18 times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
• The Braves are batting .253 this season, ninth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .446 (second in the league) with 214 home runs.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won 76, or 69.7%, of the 109 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, Atlanta has won 38 of its 49 games, or 77.6%, when favored by at least -179 on the moneyline.
• The Braves have a 64.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 71 of 139 chances this season.
• The Braves have an ATS record of 70-69-0 in 139 games with a spread this season.

Giants Betting Picks & Insights

• The Giants have won in 13, or 27.1%, of the 48 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• San Francisco has a win-loss record of 5-6 when favored by +152 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Giants have an implied victory probability of 39.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• San Francisco and their opponents have hit the over in 68 of their 141 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 140 games with a line this season, the Giants have a mark of 64-76-0 against the spread.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley has a team-best batting average of .283, and leads the Braves in home runs (36).
• Riley is third in home runs and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Matt Olson has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 91 runs batted in.
• Olson is 15th in home runs and eighth in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Dansby Swanson paces the Braves with a .283 batting average.
• Harris II is hitting .311 with 24 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 16 walks.

Giants Leaders & Batting Stats

• Wilmer Flores has plated a team-high 65 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in the majors, Flores’ home run total ranks 62nd and his RBI tally is 57th.
• Thairo Estrada is hitting .259 to lead the lineup.
• Estrada ranks 117th in homers and 90th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Joc Pederson leads the Giants with 22 long balls.
• Mike Yastrzemski is hitting .210 with 26 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 56 walks.