Braves vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/10/2022

by | Sep 10, 2022

The Seattle Mariners (77-61) will lean on Carlos Santana, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves (87-51) on Saturday at 9:10 PM ET. The Mariners are +116 underdogs for the contest, according to bookmakers. Atlanta’s Max Fried gets the start, and he’ll go against Seattle’s George Kirby.

Braves vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Braves vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Braves -138 +116 6.5 -122 -100 -1.5 +132 -156

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Mariners

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +116. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+116) and Over (6.5)

Braves vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: George Kirby
  • Game Day: Saturday, September 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:10 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Fried Kirby
26 GS 20
13-5 W-L 6-3
2.48 ERA 3.15
163.1 IP 105.2
28 BB 14
149 SO 109

Braves Starter Max Fried

  • Fried makes the start for the Braves, his 27th of the season. He is 13-5 with a 2.48 ERA and 149 strikeouts through 163 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Sunday against the Miami Marlins, when the left-hander threw five scoreless innings without giving up a hit.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.48, with 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 26 games this season. Opponents are batting .226 against him.
  • Fried has recorded 19 quality starts this year.
  • Fried is aiming for his 27th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
  • The opposing Mariners offense has the 19th-ranked slugging percentage (.386) and is 10th in MLB play with 163 home runs. It has a collective .230 batting average, and is 24th in MLB with 1055 total hits and 21st in MLB play scoring 578 runs.
  • The 28-year-old ranks eighth in ERA (2.48), 11th in WHIP (1.016), and 28th in K/9 (8.2) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Mariners Starter George Kirby

  • The Mariners will hand the ball to Kirby (6-3) for his 21st start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in three innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 20 games this season with an ERA of 3.15, a 7.786 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.155.
  • He has eight quality starts in 20 chances this season.
  • In 20 starts, Kirby has pitched through or past the fifth inning 15 times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
  • The Braves rank second in MLB with 689 runs scored this season. They have a .254 batting average this campaign with 210 home runs (second in the league).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 107 games this season and won 76 (71%) of those contests.
  • This season, Atlanta has won 66 of its 89 games, or 74.2%, when favored by at least -138 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of their 137 games with a total this season.
  • The Braves are 70-67-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have been victorious in 33, or 44.6%, of the 74 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Seattle has been victorious 12 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 46.3% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 64 of their 138 opportunities.
  • In 138 games with a line this season, the Mariners have a mark of 75-63-0 against the spread.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Braves leader in both batting average and long balls is Austin Riley, who comes into the game hitting .284 and has left the yard 35 times while driving in 89 runs this season.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Riley is third in homers and ninth in RBI.
  • Matt Olson has totaled 90 runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Including all major league hitters, Olson is 13th in home runs and seventh in RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson leads the Braves with a team-best batting average of .284.
  • Swanson is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
  • Michael Harris II has 24 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 16 walks while batting .312.
  • Harris II has recorded at least one hit in 15 games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .487 with four doubles, three home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
Austin Riley 136 .284 .355 .557 35 89 151
Matt Olson 138 .244 .331 .479 28 90 130
Dansby Swanson 138 .284 .340 .448 19 82 154
Michael Harris II 91 .312 .353 .544 16 52 102
Ronald Acuña Jr. 99 .272 .362 .409 11 39 106

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Julio Rodriguez has 21 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 38 walks while batting .269.
  • In all of the majors, Rodriguez is 35th in homers and 45th in RBI.
  • Rodriguez brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .421 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
  • Ty France has a club-high .278 batting average.
  • Among all major league batters, France is 60th in homers and 38th in RBI.
  • Eugenio Suarez leads the Mariners in home runs (27) and runs batted in (79).
  • J.P. Crawford is hitting .253 with 22 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 52 walks.
Julio Rodríguez 121 .269 .332 .472 23 67 127
Ty France 118 .278 .343 .444 18 71 129
Eugenio Suárez 137 .231 .332 .449 27 79 114
J.P. Crawford 124 .253 .335 .350 6 37 115
Jesse Winker 122 .221 .345 .350 13 48 92

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