Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/27/2022

by | May 27, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Atlanta Braves 9 Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/27/2022

The Atlanta Braves (21-24), led by Marcell Ozuna on a 12-game hitting streak, will meet the Miami Marlins (18-24) Friday at Truist Park. The Braves are -151 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 7:20 PM ET. Atlanta’s Ian Anderson and Miami’s Trevor Rogers have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Braves vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Braves -151 +130 8.5 -105 -115 -1.5 +137 -158

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+130) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Marlins Game Info

  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Ian Anderson
  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers
  • Game Day: Friday, May 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Anderson Rogers
8 GS 8
3-3 W-L 2-5
4.07 ERA 5.20
42.0 IP 36.1
20 BB 15
31 SO 34

Braves Starter Ian Anderson

  • Anderson gets the start for the Braves, his ninth of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.07 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 42 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Sunday against the Miami Marlins, when he went six innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The 24-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.07, with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in eight games this season. Opponents are batting .231 against him.
  • Anderson is looking to record his third quality start of the season in this outing.
  • Anderson will look to build upon an eight-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per appearance).
  • He meets a Marlins offense that ranks 23rd in the league with 172 runs while batting .242 as a unit. It has a collective .390 slugging percentage (13th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 41 home runs (18th in MLB).
  • Anderson has pitched 11 innings, giving up six earned runs on 13 hits while striking out 10 against the Marlins this season.

Marlins Starter Trevor Rogers

  • The Marlins’ Rogers (2-5) will make his ninth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed four innings while giving up five earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 5.20 and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .276.
  • He has started eight games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
  • In eight starts this season, Rogers has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Braves rank 21st in MLB with a .231 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 12th in the league (.396) and 56 home runs.
  • The Braves have gone 12-for-38 with four doubles, three home runs and five RBI in nine innings this season against the left-hander.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 27 games this season and won 14 (51.9%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta is 7-6 this season when entering a game favored by -151 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 60.2% chance to win.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 25 of their 45 games with a total this season.
  • The Braves are 20-25-0 against the spread in their 45 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have been victorious in seven, or 33.3%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Miami has been victorious one time in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total in 20 of their 42 opportunities.
  • The Marlins have an against the spread record of 22-20-0 in 42 games with a line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ozzie Albies is batting .246 with eight doubles, six home runs and 12 walks.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Albies ranks 48th in homers and 80th in RBI.
  • Matt Olson has 18 doubles, five home runs and 31 walks while batting .251.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Olson is 70th in homers and 132nd in RBI.
  • Olson has four straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • Austin Riley has put up a team-high nine home runs.
  • Riley has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson has 23 RBI while batting .261. Both are team-highs.
  • Swanson takes a nine-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 games he is hitting .385 with a double, two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ozzie Albies 45 .246 .296 .391 6 20 44
Matt Olson 45 .251 .370 .449 5 16 42
Austin Riley 44 .238 .318 .453 9 20 41
Dansby Swanson 45 .261 .324 .439 6 23 41
Marcell Ozuna 44 .231 .270 .399 8 20 40

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jazz Chisholm has a team-best batting average of .290 and paces the Marlins in runs batted in with a mark of 27.
  • Chisholm’s home run total puts him 40th in the majors, and he is 19th in RBI.
  • Jorge Soler has racked up a team-high nine home runs.
  • Soler is 17th overall in homers and 53rd in RBI this year.
  • Jesus Aguilar is hitting .267 with six doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.
  • Joey Wendle is batting .304 with six doubles, two home runs and seven walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jazz Chisholm 34 .290 .341 .581 7 27 36
Jorge Soler 39 .207 .292 .433 9 22 31
Jesús Aguilar 40 .267 .321 .407 5 18 40
Joey Wendle 25 .304 .368 .456 2 10 24
Brian Anderson 31 .267 .378 .416 2 6 27

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Marlins

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +130. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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