Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/29/2022

The Atlanta Braves (22-25) are -216 favorites to take Game 3 of th series from the Miami Marlins (19-25) Sunday at 1:35 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied, and the underdog Marlins are listed with +181 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory. Max Fried takes the mound for Atlanta while Elieser Hernandez is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+181) and Over (8)

Braves vs. Marlins Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Elieser Hernandez
• Game Day: Sunday, May 29, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Max Fried

• The Braves are sending Fried (4-2) to the mound to make his 10th start of the season. He is 4-2 with a 3.27 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 55 innings pitched.
• The lefty last pitched on Tuesday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 28-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.27, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in nine games this season. Opponents are hitting .238 against him.
• Fried is looking for his third quality start in a row.
• Fried will look to go five or more innings for his 10th straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
• The opposing Marlins offense has the 14th-ranked slugging percentage (.388) and is 16th in MLB play with 44 home runs. It has a collective .240 batting average, and is 18th in MLB with 354 total hits and 23rd in MLB play scoring 180 runs.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 28-year-old’s 3.27 ERA ranks 25th, 1.055 WHIP ranks 20th, and 8.5 K/9 ranks 24th.

Marlins Starter Elieser Hernandez

• The Marlins will hand the ball to Hernandez (2-4) for his ninth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Wednesday when he threw one scoreless inning out of the bullpen against the Tampa Bay Rays without allowing a hit.
• The 27-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 5.45, a 2.846 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.311.
• In eight starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
• In eight starts, Hernandez has pitched through or past the fifth inning four times. He has a season average of 4.1 frames per outing.
• The Braves have scored 192 runs this season, which ranks 17th in MLB. They are batting .229 for the campaign with 57 home runs, fifth in the league.
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Braves in two games, and they have gone 10-for-37 with two doubles, a triple, four home runs and six RBI over 9 2/3 innings.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have entered the game as favorites 29 times this season and won 15, or 51.7%, of those games.
• This season, Atlanta has won one of its three games when favored by at least -216 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 68.4%.
• Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 26 of 47 chances this season.
• In 47 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 21-26-0 ATS.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been victorious in eight, or 34.8%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Oddsmakers have given Miami the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +181 moneyline listed for this contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 35.6% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 21 of 44 chances this season.
• The Marlins have posted a record of 23-21-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ozzie Albies is hitting .242 with nine doubles, six home runs and 12 walks.
• Albies is 50th in home runs and 61st in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Matt Olson has 18 doubles, five home runs and 32 walks while batting .243.
• Olson is 75th in home runs and 138th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Dansby Swanson has racked up a team-high batting average of .264 while pacing the Braves in runs batted in (24).
• Austin Riley’s 10 home runs pace his team.
• Riley is riding a six-game hitting streak into this one. In his last 10 games he is batting .268 with a double, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins with 27 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .290.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Chisholm’s home run total ranks 43rd and his RBI tally ranks 22nd.
• Jorge Soler has shown his power as he paces his team with nine home runs.
• Soler is 20th in home runs and 61st in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Jesus Aguilar is batting .261 with six doubles, six home runs and 16 walks.
• Garrett Cooper is hitting .277 with 11 doubles, three home runs and 15 walks.

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Marlins

We have the Marlins on the moneyline at +181 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.