Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/12/2022

Coming off of a 2-0 series win over the Red Sox, the Atlanta Braves (66-46) are -161 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a four-game series against the Miami Marlins (50-61). The series begins at loanDepot park, starting on Friday at 6:40 PM ET. Atlanta’s Jake Odorizzi gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Pablo Lopez.

Braves vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +135 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+135) and Over (7.5)

Braves vs. Marlins Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Jake Odorizzi
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
• Game Day: Friday, August 12, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Jake Odorizzi

• The Braves are sending Odorizzi (4-4) out to make his 14th start of the season. He is 4-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 50 strikeouts through 64 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last time out came on Saturday against the New York Mets, when the right-hander went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up six hits.
• The 32-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.76, with 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opponents are hitting .238 against him.
• Odorizzi heads into the matchup with four quality starts under his belt this year.
• Odorizzi has put together eight starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He will face a Marlins offense that ranks 23rd in MLB with 874 total hits (on a .235 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .370 (27th in MLB) with 101 total home runs (22nd in MLB).

Marlins Starter Pablo López

• The Marlins will send Lopez (7-7) to the mound for his 23rd start this season.
• The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed nine hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs on Saturday.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 22 games this season with an ERA of 3.57 and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .232.
• He has eight quality starts in 22 chances this season.
• In 22 starts this season, Lopez has lasted five or more innings 18 times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
• The Braves are batting .250 this season, ninth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .442 (second in the league) with 170 home runs.
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 26-year-old ranks 33rd in ERA (3.57), 29th in WHIP (1.164), and 16th in K/9 (9.1).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 84 games this season and won 56 (66.7%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has a record of 34-15 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -161 on the moneyline.
• The Braves have a 61.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 57 of their 111 chances.
• The Braves are 55-56-0 against the spread in their 111 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have come away with 21 wins in the 61 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Miami has won five of 19 games when listed as at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 42.6% chance of pulling out a win.
• Miami and their opponents have gone over in 50 of their 111 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 111 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 50-61-0 against the spread.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley leads the Braves in home runs (30), runs batted in (74) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .297.
• Among all batters in MLB, Riley’s home run total places him fourth, and his RBI tally puts him eighth.
• Riley has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .304 with a double, a triple, a home run and five RBI.
• Matt Olson has 36 doubles, 21 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .248.
• Olson is 25th in homers and 14th in RBI on the season.
• Olson heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with three walks and two RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has 24 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .294.
• Swanson is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .208 with two doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .213 with 13 doubles, 20 home runs and 27 walks.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar is batting .240 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 23 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .286.
• In all of MLB, Aguilar ranks 79th in home runs and 97th in RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .231 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 21 walks.
• Rojas is currently 209th in homers and 209th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Garrett Cooper has accumulated a team-best batting average of .274.
• Joey Wendle has 13 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks while batting .262.