Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/13/2022

The Atlanta Braves (67-46) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they visit the Miami Marlins (50-62) Saturday at 1:10 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Braves -120 favorites to extend their streak, while the Marlins are +100 underdogs looking for the upset. Kyle Muller takes the mound for Atlanta while Jesus Luzardo is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +100. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+100) and Over (7)

Braves vs. Marlins Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Kyle Muller
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
• Game Day: Saturday, August 13, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Kyle Muller

• Muller gets the call to start for the Braves, his first of the season.
• It’s the first appearance this season for the 24-year-old left-hander, and his first outing in more than a year.
• The Marlins have scored 425 runs this season (27th in MLB) and are batting .236 collectively with 102 home runs (23rd in the league).

Marlins Starter Jesús Luzardo

• Luzardo (3-4) will take the mound for the Marlins, his ninth start of the season.
• The left-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
• The 24-year-old has pitched to a 3.29 ERA this season with 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.7 walks per nine across eight games.
• He has started eight games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
• Luzardo has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Braves rank 10th in MLB with a .250 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks second in the league (.443) and 172 home runs.
• The Braves have gone 2-for-17 with two doubles and an RBI in one game against the left-hander this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have entered the game as favorites 85 times this season and won 57, or 67.1%, of those games.
• Atlanta is 56-25 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 57 of their 112 opportunities.
• The Braves are 55-57-0 against the spread in their 112 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 62 games this year and have walked away with the win 21 times (33.9%) in those games.
• Miami has a mark of 16-37 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.
• Miami and their opponents have gone over in 50 of their 112 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins have posted a record of 51-61-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley’s 30 long balls and 74 RBI both lead the Braves, in addition to his team-high .297 average.
• Riley’s home runs place him fourth in the majors, and he ranks eighth in RBI.
• Riley carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .261 with a double, a triple, a home run and five RBI.
• Matt Olson has 36 doubles, 22 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .248.
• Olson ranks 22nd in home runs and 13th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Olson enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Dansby Swanson is hitting .292 with 24 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 34 walks.
• Marcell Ozuna has 13 doubles, 20 home runs and 27 walks while batting .211.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas has 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 23 walks while hitting .232.
• Rojas’ home run total places him 208th in the majors, and he is 212th in RBI.
• Jesus Aguilar is batting .238 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 24 walks.
• Aguilar ranks 81st overall in homers and 100th in RBI this season.
• Garrett Cooper leads the Marlins with a team-best batting average of .273.
• Jon Berti is hitting .274 with 11 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 27 walks.