Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/14/2022

The Atlanta Braves (69-46), led by Matt Olson on a three-game home run streak, are -140 favorites on the moneyline to defeat Jesus Aguilar (homers in two straight contests) and the Miami Marlins (50-64). First pitch is at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, live from loanDepot park. Atlanta’s Bryce Elder and Miami’s Braxton Garrett have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +118 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+118) and Over (8)

Braves vs. Marlins Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
• Game Day: Sunday, August 14, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Bryce Elder

• Elder (1-3 with a 5.48 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Braves, his fifth of the season.
• In his last appearance — out of the bullpen on Saturday, Aug. 6 — the righty tossed 2 1/3 innings against the New York Mets, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• In five games this season, the 23-year-old has an ERA of 5.48, with 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .280 against him.
• He will face off against a Marlins squad that is hitting .235 as a unit (23rd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .370 (27th in MLB) with 104 total home runs (22nd in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Marlins this season, Elder has pitched 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits while striking out four.

Marlins Starter Braxton Garrett

• Garrett (2-6) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 13th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• The 25-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with an ERA of 4.02, a 4.929 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.197.
• He has started 12 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
• Garrett has started 12 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings seven times. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
• The Braves rank eighth in MLB with a .251 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks second in the league (.445) and 176 home runs.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 87 games this season and won 59 (67.8%) of those contests.
• Atlanta is 52-21 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of their 114 games with a total this season.
• The Braves are 57-57-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been victorious in 21, or 32.8%, of the 64 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 11-27 when favored by +118 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 114 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 51-63-0 in 114 games with a line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley leads the Braves with 30 home runs while racking up a team-best batting average of .294.
• Riley’s home runs put him fourth in MLB, and he ranks 10th in RBI.
• Olson’s 75 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
• Of all MLB hitters, Olson ranks 14th in home runs and ninth in RBI.
• Olson enters this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .286 with three home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has 24 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .289.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .273.
• Acuna has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .348 with a home run, a walk and an RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aguilar paces the Marlins with 15 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 47.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Aguilar ranks 58th in home runs and 85th in RBI.
• Aguilar carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is batting .232 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 23 walks.
• Rojas ranks 209th in home runs and 213th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Garrett Cooper paces the Marlins with a team-best batting average of .272.
• Jon Berti is hitting .269 with 11 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 27 walks.