Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/2/2022

The Atlanta Braves (81-51) will play the Miami Marlins (55-75) on Friday at 7:20 PM ET. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the favored Braves (-176) when the game gets underway at Truist Park. Charlie Morton will get the ball for Atlanta while Miami counter with Sandy Alcantara.

Braves vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins

We have the Marlins on the moneyline at +150 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+150) and Over (7)

Braves vs. Marlins Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Charlie Morton
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
• Game Day: Friday, September 2, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Charlie Morton

• The Braves are sending Morton (6-5) to the mound to make his 26th start of the season. He is 6-5 with a 4.10 ERA and 168 strikeouts through 140 1/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s most recent appearance was on Saturday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he went five innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 38-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.10, with 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 25 games this season. Opponents are hitting .226 against him.
• Morton is trying to record his 10th quality start of the year in this outing.
• Morton will try to continue a 17-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per appearance).
• He will match up with a Marlins offense that is batting .229 as a unit (26th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .363 (27th in MLB) with 115 total home runs (23rd in MLB).
• In 5 1/3 innings over one appearance against the Marlins this season, Morton has a 5.06 ERA and a 1.500 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .318.
• The 38-year-old ranks 41st in ERA (4.10), 35th in WHIP (1.190), and sixth in K/9 (10.8) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

• The Marlins will hand the ball to Alcantara (12-6) for his 27th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw nine innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up one earned run while allowing six hits.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 26 games this season with an ERA of 2.13 and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .205.
• He has started 26 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 19 of them.
• In 26 starts, Alcantara has pitched through or past the fifth inning 24 times. He has a season average of 7.0 frames per outing.
• The Braves rank third in MLB with 649 runs scored this season. They have a .253 batting average this campaign with 196 home runs (second in the league).
• The right-hander has faced the Braves two times this season, allowing them to go 10-for-58 with three doubles and an RBI in 17 innings.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 26-year-old’s 2.13 ERA ranks second, .980 WHIP ranks eighth, and 8.1 K/9 ranks 30th.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have entered the game as favorites 101 times this season and won 70, or 69.3%, of those games.
• Atlanta has entered 49 games this season favored by -176 or more and is 36-13 in those contests.
• The Braves have a 63.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of their 131 games with a total this season.
• The Braves have an ATS record of 66-65-0 in 131 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have come away with 24 wins in the 77 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Miami has been victorious two times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +150 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 40% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Miami and their opponents have gone over in 56 of their 130 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins have posted a record of 59-71-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley has accumulated a team-high batting average of .289, while pacing the Braves in home runs (33).
• In all of MLB, Riley ranks third in homers and seventh in RBI.
• Riley takes a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .450 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Matt Olson has totaled 87 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Olson ranks 15th in homers and sixth in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Dansby Swanson is batting .286 with 29 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 42 walks.
• Acuna is hitting .271 with 17 doubles, 11 home runs and 46 walks.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas leads the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .230.
• Rojas is 232nd in homers and 224th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Jon Berti has 14 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 34 walks while batting .259.
• Berti ranks 314th in homers and 291st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Garrett Cooper has 24 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 34 walks while batting .255.
• Joey Wendle has 19 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 13 walks while batting .253.