Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/3/2022

The Atlanta Braves (82-51) will look to Travis d’Arnaud, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Miami Marlins (55-76) Saturday at 7:20 PM ET. The Braves are -196 favorites for the contest, according to oddsmakers. Atlanta’s Jake Odorizzi gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Edward Cabrera.

Braves vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +163 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+163) and Over (7.5)

Braves vs. Marlins Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Jake Odorizzi
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera
• Game Day: Saturday, September 3, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Jake Odorizzi

• Odorizzi makes the start for the Braves, his 18th of the season. He is 5-5 with a 3.90 ERA and 65 strikeouts in 85 1/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance came on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the righty went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
• In 17 games this season, the 32-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.90, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .250 against him.
• Odorizzi heads into this matchup with five quality starts under his belt this season.
• Odorizzi will try to continue a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.0 frames per outing).
• He will match up with a Marlins offense that ranks 26th in MLB with 999 total hits (on a .229 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .363 (27th in MLB) with 116 total home runs (23rd in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Marlins this season, Odorizzi has pitched four innings, giving up two earned runs on eight hits while striking out two.

Marlins Starter Edward Cabrera

• The Marlins’ Cabrera (4-2) will make his ninth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up six earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 2.45 and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .151.
• He has three quality starts in eight chances this season.
• Cabrera has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Braves rank eighth in MLB with a .253 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks second in the league (.445) and 201 home runs.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 102 games this season and won 71 (69.6%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has entered 35 games this season favored by -196 or more and is 27-8 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of their 132 games with a total this season.
• The Braves are 67-65-0 against the spread in their 132 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 78 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (30.8%) in those games.
• This year, Miami has won two of 11 games when listed as at least +163 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 38% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 57 of 131 chances this season.
• The Marlins are 59-72-0 against the spread in their 131 games that had a posted line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley is the bat to watch in the Braves lineup, leading the team in batting average (.290), home runs (34), and RBI (87).
• Including all MLB hitters, Riley ranks 22nd in batting average, 26th in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging.
• Riley has collected a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, three home runs, six walks and nine RBI.
• Matt Olson has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 87 runs batted in.
• Olson is 15th in homers and sixth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Dansby Swanson has 29 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .285.
• Swanson will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .273 with 18 doubles, 11 home runs and 46 walks.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas leads the team in batting average with a mark of .228.
• In all of the majors, Rojas is 233rd in homers and 225th in RBI.
• Jon Berti is hitting .259 with 14 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 34 walks.
• Berti is 317th among all batters in MLB in home runs, and 292nd in RBI.
• Garrett Cooper is hitting .253 with 24 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 35 walks.
• Joey Wendle is hitting .256 with 19 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 13 walks.