Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/12/2022

The Atlanta Braves (52-36), led by the red-hot Austin Riley and his three-game homer streak, are -165 favorites to pick up a win over the New York Mets (54-33) Tuesday at 7:20 PM ET, live from Truist Park. Spencer Strider takes the mound for Atlanta while David Peterson is New York’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Mets

We have the Mets on the moneyline at +140 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+140) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Mets Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: David Peterson
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 12, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Spencer Strider

• Strider makes the start for the Braves, his ninth of the season. He is 4-2 with a 2.88 ERA and 102 strikeouts in 65 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last time out was on Thursday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the right-hander tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
• The 23-year-old has a 2.88 ERA and 14.0 strikeouts per nine innings across 19 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .168 to his opponents.
• Strider is seeking his fourth quality start in a row.
• Strider will look to continue a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 3.1 frames per outing).
• He will face a Mets offense that ranks fifth in the league with 413 runs while batting .255 as a squad. It has a collective .400 slugging percentage (12th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 86 home runs (19th in MLB).

Mets Starter David Peterson

• Peterson (5-1) will take to the mound for the Mets and make his 12th start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up three earned runs in 3 2/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 3.48 and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .230.
• He has three quality starts in 11 chances this season.
• Peterson has made six starts of five or more innings in 11 chances this season, and averages 4.2 frames when he pitches.
• The Braves have scored 417 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .249 for the campaign with 134 home runs, second in the league.
• This season, the left-hander has pitched against the Braves in one game, and they have gone 4-for-19 with a double, a home run and three RBI over five innings.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Braves have been favored 65 times and won 43, or 66.2%, of those games.
• This season, Atlanta has won 24 of its 34 games, or 70.6%, when favored by at least -165 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 62.3% chance to win.
• So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 87 games with a total.
• In 87 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 43-44-0 ATS.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 25 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (48%) in those games.
• This season, New York has been victorious two times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 41.7% chance of walking away with the win.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 45 of their 89 opportunities.
• The Mets have an against the spread record of 48-39-0 in 87 games with a line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Riley has gone yard 24 times in the 2022 campaign while knocking in 57 runs, both totals that lead the Braves.
• Including all MLB batters, Riley is 36th in batting average, 49th in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging.
• Riley carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .439 with five doubles, five home runs, three walks and 11 RBI.
• Dansby Swanson’s .296 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Swanson is 40th in homers and 24th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Matt Olson is hitting .251 with 33 doubles, 13 home runs and 47 walks.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .228 with 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 24 walks.
• Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with two doubles, three walks and two RBI.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 23 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 72.
• Alonso’s home run total puts him sixth in the majors, and he is first in RBI.
• Alonso carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .143 with a double, a home run and three RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .245 with 11 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 32 walks.
• Lindor is 31st in homers and seventh in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Starling Marte is batting .288 with 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .269 with 16 doubles, five triples, eight home runs and 33 walks.