Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/15/2022

The Atlanta Braves (70-46) will put their six-game win streak to the test when they host the New York Mets (75-40) Monday at 7:20 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Braves -148 favorites to extend their streak, while the Mets are +126 underdogs looking for the upset. Atlanta’s Spencer Strider gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s Carlos Carrasco.

Braves vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Mets

Our best bet is the Mets on the moneyline at +126 after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+126) and Over (8)

Braves vs. Mets Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
• Game Day: Monday, August 15, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Spencer Strider

• Strider makes the start for the Braves, his 14th of the season. He is 6-4 with a 3.11 ERA and 138 strikeouts in 89 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Sunday, Aug. 7, the right-hander went 2 2/3 innings against the New York Mets, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
• In 24 games this season, the 23-year-old has a 3.11 ERA and 13.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .185 to opposing hitters.
• Strider has five quality starts under his belt this season.
• Strider enters the game with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• The opposing Mets offense has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.409) and is 16th in MLB play with 116 home runs. It has a collective .259 batting average, and is fourth in MLB with 1011 total hits and fourth in MLB play scoring 552 runs.
• In 7 1/3 innings over two appearances against the Mets this season, Strider has a 6.14 ERA and a 2.182 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .333.

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco (13-4) will take to the mound for the Mets and make his 23rd start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed seven hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds.
• The 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.76, a 3.844 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.279 in 22 games this season.
• He’s looking to extend his three-game quality start streak.
• Carrasco has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Braves rank ninth in MLB with a .251 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks second in the league (.444) and 177 home runs.
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Braves in two games, and they have gone 10-for-51 with three doubles, a home run and three RBI over 14 innings.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 35-year-old’s 3.76 ERA ranks 38th, 1.279 WHIP ranks 47th, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 19th.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won 60, or 68.2%, of the 88 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta has entered 62 games this season favored by -148 or more and is 45-17 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 59.7% chance to win.
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 57 of their 115 chances.
• The Braves are 58-57-0 against the spread in their 115 chances this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been victorious in 14, or 50%, of the 28 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, New York has come away with a win three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 44.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• New York and their opponents have hit the over in 58 of their 117 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Mets have an against the spread mark of 65-50-0 in 115 games with a line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley’s .292 average and 30 homers both put him atop the Braves leaderboard this season.
• Including all MLB hitters, Riley ranks 22nd in batting average, 30th in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging.
• Matt Olson’s 75 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
• Olson ranks 15th in homers in MLB, and ninth in RBI.
• Olson enters this matchup looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .293 with a double, three home runs, five walks and eight RBI.
• Dansby Swanson is batting .290 with 24 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
• Swanson will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .238 with two walks and two RBI.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is hitting .273 with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 36 walks.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has managed a team-high 29 home runs and has driven in 97 runs.
• In all of MLB, Alonso ranks fifth in homers and second in RBI.
• Alonso carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a double, three walks and two RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 17 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 48 walks while batting .269.
• Among all MLB batters, Lindor ranks 30th in home runs and sixth in RBI.
• Starling Marte is batting .292 with 20 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 21 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .265 with 22 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 43 walks.