Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/16/2022

The New York Mets (75-41) and Jeff McNeil, coming off a four-hit game, are underdogs (+127) on the moneyline and will look to upset the Atlanta Braves (71-46) on Tuesday at 7:20 PM ET. Charlie Morton will get the ball for Atlanta while New York counter with Taijuan Walker.

Braves vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Mets

After looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Mets on the moneyline at +127. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+127) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Mets Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Charlie Morton
• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 16, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Charlie Morton

• Morton (5-5) takes the mound for the Braves in his 23rd start of the season. He has a 4.26 ERA in 122 2/3 innings pitched, with 141 strikeouts.
• His most recent time out was on Tuesday against the Boston Red Sox, when the righty threw six innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up six hits.
• The 38-year-old has an ERA of 4.26, with 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 22 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .230 batting average against him.
• Morton has collected seven quality starts this year.
• Morton will try to prolong a 14-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
• The opposing Mets offense has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.408) and is 16th in MLB play with 116 home runs. It has a collective .259 batting average, and is fourth in MLB with 1018 total hits and fourth in MLB play scoring 553 runs.
• Morton has pitched 10 2/3 innings, giving up nine earned runs on 13 hits while striking out nine against the Mets this season.
• This season, the 38-year-old ranks 47th in ERA (4.26), 40th in WHIP (1.207), and ninth in K/9 (10.3) among qualifying pitchers.

Mets Starter Taijuan Walker

• Walker (10-3) will take to the mound for the Mets and make his 21st start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
• The 30-year-old has pitched to a 3.43 ERA this season with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.5 walks per nine across 20 games.
• In 20 starts this season, he’s earned 11 quality starts.
• In 20 starts, Walker has pitched through or past the fifth inning 17 times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
• The Braves have scored 570 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .252 for the campaign with 180 home runs, second in the league.
• The Braves have gone 7-for-11 with two doubles, two home runs and eight RBI in one inning this season against the right-hander.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won 61, or 68.5%, of the 89 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta has a record of 45-17 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -150 on the moneyline.
• The Braves have a 60% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 116 opportunities.
• In 116 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 59-57-0 ATS.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have come away with 14 wins in the 29 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• New York has a win-loss record of 3-4 when favored by +127 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 44.1% chance of pulling out a win.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 59 of their 118 opportunities.
• The Mets are 65-51-0 against the spread in their 116 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley has left the yard 30 times this season, the highest mark on the Braves, while hitting .291 with 74 RBI.
• Riley’s home runs rank him fourth in MLB, and he is 11th in RBI.
• Matt Olson’s 76 runs batted in pace his team.
• Olson ranks 15th in homers and eighth in RBI on the season.
• Olson carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is batting .262 with three home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has put up a team-high batting average of .294.
• Swanson is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, three walks and four RBI.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .278 with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 36 walks.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso paces the Mets in home runs (29) and runs batted in (97).
• In all of MLB, Alonso is fifth in home runs and second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has 17 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 48 walks while hitting .267.
• Lindor is currently 30th in home runs and sixth in RBI in the big leagues.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .267 with 22 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 43 walks.
• Starling Marte is batting .290 with 20 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 22 walks.