Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/13/2022

The Atlanta Braves (34-27) and Adam Duvall (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-158) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Washington Nationals (23-39) on Monday at 7:05 PM ET. Atlanta’s Ian Anderson gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Josiah Gray.

Braves vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+136) and Over (9.5)

Braves vs. Nationals Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Ian Anderson
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
• Game Day: Monday, June 13, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Ian Anderson

• The Braves will send Anderson (5-3) to make his 12th start of the season. He is 5-3 with a 4.53 ERA and 50 strikeouts in 59 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Wednesday against the Oakland Athletics, the righty threw six innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
• In 11 games this season, the 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.53, with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .250 against him.
• Anderson is trying to collect his fourth quality start of the year.
• Anderson will try to pitch five or more innings for his 11th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
• He will match up with a Nationals offense that is batting .256 as a unit (third in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .380 (20th in MLB) with 49 total home runs (24th in MLB).

Nationals Starter Josiah Gray

• The Nationals will send Gray (6-4) to the mound for his 13th start this season.
• The right-hander allowed six hits in five scoreless innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Wednesday.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with an ERA of 4.33 and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .230.
• He has three quality starts in 12 chances this season.
• Gray will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
• The Braves rank eighth in MLB with 281 runs scored this season. They have a .243 batting average this campaign with 84 home runs (second in the league).
• The Braves have gone 1-for-14 in five innings this season against the right-hander.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 24-year-old’s 4.33 ERA ranks 45th, 1.316 WHIP ranks 46th, and 10.0 K/9 ranks 11th.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Braves have won 27 out of the 43 games, or 62.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Atlanta has a record of 16-7, a 69.6% win rate, when favored by -158 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of their 61 opportunities.
• The Braves are 31-30-0 against the spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have come away with 18 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Washington has a win-loss record of 11-19 when favored by +136 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Washington and their opponents have gone over in 33 of their 63 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Nationals are 26-37-0 against the spread in their 63 games that had a posted line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley paces the Braves with 16 home runs and 35 runs batted in.
• Riley ranks fifth in home runs and 25th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Ozzie Albies has 15 doubles, eight home runs and 14 walks while hitting .246.
• Including all major league hitters, Albies ranks 54th in home runs and 32nd in RBI.
• Matt Olson is hitting .251 with 24 doubles, eight home runs and 37 walks.
• Dansby Swanson has a club-high .285 batting average.
• Swanson has recorded at least one hit in seven straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .390 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and eight RBI.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto leads the Nationals with 13 long balls.
• In all of the majors, Soto is 15th in home runs and 69th in RBI.
• Soto carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, a home run, four walks and seven RBI.
• Josh Bell’s 37 RBI and .306 batting average both pace his team.
• Among all MLB hitters, Bell ranks 68th in homers and 19th in RBI.
• Nelson Cruz is batting .267 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 25 walks.
• Cesar Hernandez is hitting .270 with 14 doubles, a triple and 17 walks.

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Nationals

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +136. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.