Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/10/2022

The Washington Nationals (30-57) are +178 underdogs for their matchup with the Atlanta Braves (51-35) on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET. Josh Bell has 97 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Truist Park. Atlanta’s Ian Anderson gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Paolo Espino.

Braves vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Nationals

After looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +178. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+178) and Over (9.5)

Braves vs. Nationals Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Ian Anderson
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Paolo Espino
• Game Day: Sunday, July 10, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Ian Anderson

• Anderson (7-5) gets the starting nod for the Braves in his 17th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.09 ERA in 81 1/3 innings pitched, with 69 strikeouts.
• In his most recent time out on Tuesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the righty threw 5 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering eight hits.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.09, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opponents are batting .273 against him.
• Anderson enters the matchup with four quality starts under his belt this season.
• Anderson is looking to record his 13th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
• He meets a Nationals offense that ranks 26th in the league with 338 runs while batting .249 as a squad. It has a collective .375 slugging percentage (25th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 67 home runs (26th in MLB).
• In four innings over one appearance against the Nationals this season, Anderson has a 9 ERA and a 2.5 WHIP while his opponents are batting .353.

Nationals Starter Paolo Espino

• The Nationals will send Espino (0-2) to the mound for his sixth start this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up four earned runs while allowing six hits.
• The 35-year-old has pitched in 25 games this season with an ERA of 3.33 and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .251.
• None of Espino’s five starts this season have met the criteria for a quality start.
• Espino has two starts of five or more innings this season in five chances. He averages 1.3 innings per outing.
• The Braves have scored 412 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They have 731 hits, eighth in baseball, with 132 home runs (second in the league).
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Braves in one game, and they have gone 4-for-13 with a double, a home run and three RBI over three innings.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won 42, or 66.7%, of the 63 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta has a record of 13-3, a 81.2% win rate, when favored by -218 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 68.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 41 of 85 chances this season.
• The Braves are 43-42-0 ATS in their 85 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 72 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (31.9%) in those games.
• Washington has a mark of 4-10 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +178 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 36% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Washington have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 43 of 87 chances this season.
• The Nationals are 36-51-0 against the spread in their 87 games that had a posted line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley paces the Braves in home runs (22) and runs batted in (53).
• Among all MLB batters, Riley is 42nd in batting average, 51st in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
• Riley carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .526 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Dansby Swanson’s .296 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Swanson is 39th in home runs in baseball, and 22nd in RBI.
• Matt Olson has 33 doubles, 13 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .255.
• Marcell Ozuna is hitting .227 with 11 doubles, 17 home runs and 23 walks.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto has a team-high 17 home runs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Soto is 19th in home runs and 76th in RBI.
• Soto carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .533 with two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
• Bell’s 47 runs batted in and .311 batting average are both team-highs.
• Bell ranks 55th overall in home runs and 28th in RBI this year.
• Nelson Cruz has a team-high 47 runs batted in.
• Cesar Hernandez is batting .242 with 18 doubles, two triples and 27 walks.