Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/14/2022

by | Jul 14, 2022

Austin Riley is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the Atlanta Braves (53-37) as they get set to take on the Washington Nationals (30-60) on Thursday. The Braves enter the matchup as -221 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Nationals Park at 7:05 PM ET. Atlanta’s Kyle Wright gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Anibal Sanchez.

Braves vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Braves vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Braves -221 +181 9.5 -102 -119 -1.5 -135 +112

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Nationals

We have the Nationals on the moneyline at +181 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+181) and Over (9.5)

Braves vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Kyle Wright
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez
  • Game Day: Thursday, July 14, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Wright Sánchez
17 GS 0
10-4 W-L 0-0
2.97 ERA
103.0 IP 0
33 BB 0
103 SO 0

Braves Starter Kyle Wright

  • Wright (10-4) gets the starting nod for the Braves in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.97 ERA in 103 innings pitched, with 103 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Saturday, the righty went 7 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, allowing three earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • In 17 games this season, the 26-year-old has put up a 2.97 ERA and 9 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .228 to opposing hitters.
  • Wright has 11 quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Wright enters this game with 15 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • The opposing Nationals offense has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.374) and is 27th in MLB play with 70 home runs. It has a collective .248 batting average, and is ninth in MLB with 747 total hits and 27th in MLB play scoring 346 runs.
  • Wright has a 3.86 ERA and a 1.429 WHIP against the Nationals this season in seven innings pitched, allowing a .296 batting average over one appearance.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 26-year-old’s 2.97 ERA ranks 19th, 1.155 WHIP ranks 30th, and 9 K/9 ranks 22nd.

Nationals Starter Aníbal Sánchez

  • Sanchez gets the nod for the Nationals and will make his first start of the season.
  • This will be the first start of the season for the 38-year-old right-hander, who has not made an appearance on the mound in over a season.
  • The Braves are batting .248 this season, ninth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .443 (first in the league) with 139 home runs.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 44 out of the 67 games, or 65.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Atlanta is 13-3 this season when entering a game favored by -221 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have a 68.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 42 of their 89 opportunities.
  • The Braves are 44-45-0 against the spread in their 89 chances this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 74 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (31.1%) in those games.
  • This season, Washington has been victorious four times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +181 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 35.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Washington and their opponents have gone over in 44 of their 90 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 90 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 38-52-0 against the spread.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Braves best power option comes in the form of Riley and his 25-homer 58-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Including all MLB batters, Riley is 34th in batting average, 45th in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging.
  • Riley carries a nine-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .415 with three doubles, five home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
  • Matt Olson is hitting .251 with 33 doubles, 15 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Olson ranks 33rd in homers in baseball, and 20th in RBI.
  • Olson carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .143 with two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson leads the Braves with a team-best batting average of .291.
  • Marcell Ozuna has 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .226.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Austin Riley 88 .281 .346 .565 25 58 97
Dansby Swanson 90 .291 .348 .474 14 50 100
Matt Olson 90 .251 .340 .476 15 53 87
Marcell Ozuna 85 .226 .282 .418 17 37 74
Travis d’Arnaud 60 .263 .313 .470 11 37 61

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto has launched a team-best 19 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Soto’s home run total is 15th and his RBI tally is 61st.
  • Soto has collected a hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .444 with five home runs, 12 walks and nine RBI.
  • Josh Bell’s 47 runs batted in and .302 batting average both lead his team.
  • Bell is 57th in homers and 34th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
  • Nelson Cruz leads the Nationals with 47 runs batted in.
  • Cesar Hernandez is hitting .240 with 18 doubles, two triples and 29 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 87 .238 .396 .483 19 41 71
Josh Bell 89 .302 .382 .483 12 47 98
Nelson Cruz 82 .240 .324 .362 8 47 73
César Hernández 89 .240 .302 .302 0 19 85
Keibert Ruiz 69 .258 .316 .361 3 19 65

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