Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/15/2022

by | Jul 15, 2022

The Atlanta Braves (54-37) will play the Washington Nationals (30-61) on Friday at 7:05 PM ET. Austin Riley will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the favored Braves (-207) when the game gets underway at Nationals Park. Atlanta’s Ian Anderson gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Patrick Corbin.

Braves vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Braves vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Braves -207 +174 9.5 -106 -114 -1.5 -123 +101

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Nationals

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +174. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+174) and Over (9.5)

Braves vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Ian Anderson
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
  • Game Day: Friday, July 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Anderson Corbin
17 GS 18
7-5 W-L 4-11
4.98 ERA 5.70
86.2 IP 94.2
42 BB 33
74 SO 83

Braves Starter Ian Anderson

  • The Braves are sending Anderson (7-5) out to make his 18th start of the season. He is 7-5 with a 4.98 ERA and 74 strikeouts through 86 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Washington Nationals, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up two hits.
  • In 17 games this season, the 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.98, with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .264 against him.
  • Anderson is looking to record his fifth quality start of the year.
  • Anderson will try to go five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per outing.
  • He meets a Nationals offense that ranks 27th in the league with 350 runs while batting .248 as a squad. It has a collective .375 slugging percentage (26th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 72 home runs (27th in MLB).
  • Anderson has pitched 9 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on eight hits while striking out eight against the Nationals this season.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

  • The Nationals will send Corbin (4-11) to the mound for his 19th start this season.
  • The left-hander gave up four earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • The 32-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 5.70, a 2.515 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.669.
  • In 18 starts this season, he’s earned six quality starts.
  • Corbin has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Braves are batting .248 this season, ninth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .444 (first in the league) with 142 home runs.
  • The Braves have gone 17-for-41 with three doubles, a home run and 10 RBI in 8 2/3 innings this season against the left-hander.
  • Among qualified pitchers this year, the 32-year-old’s 5.70 ERA ranks 61st, 1.669 WHIP ranks 61st, and 7.9 K/9 ranks 38th.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Braves have been favored 68 times and won 45, or 66.2%, of those games.
  • This season, Atlanta has won 16 of its 19 games, or 84.2%, when favored by at least -207 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 67.4%.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 90 games with a total this season.
  • The Braves have an ATS record of 44-46-0 in 90 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 75 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (30.7%) in those games.
  • This season, Washington has come away with a win five times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +174 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 36.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Washington have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 44 of 91 chances this season.
  • In 91 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 39-52-0 against the spread.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Riley has accumulated a team-best 25 home runs and 58 runs batted in.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Riley’s home run total ranks him fourth, and his RBI tally puts him 10th.
  • Riley has collected a hit in 10 straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .439 with three doubles, five home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson’s .290 batting average paces his team.
  • Among all major league hitters, Swanson ranks 34th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
  • Matt Olson has 33 doubles, 16 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .251.
  • Olson will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .190 with three home runs, a walk and four RBI.
  • Marcell Ozuna is hitting .227 with 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 26 walks.
Austin Riley 89 .281 .345 .562 25 58 98
Matt Olson 91 .251 .339 .481 16 54 88
Dansby Swanson 91 .290 .347 .480 15 52 101
Marcell Ozuna 86 .227 .285 .418 17 37 75
Travis d’Arnaud 61 .263 .312 .466 11 37 62

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto has put up a team-best 19 home runs.
  • In all of the big leagues, Soto is 16th in homers and 65th in RBI.
  • Soto has collected a hit in eight straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .464 with a double, four home runs, 11 walks and eight RBI.
  • Josh Bell’s 48 RBI and .303 batting average both lead his team.
  • Bell ranks 50th overall in home runs and 35th in RBI this season.
  • Nelson Cruz has racked up a team-best 48 runs batted in.
  • Cesar Hernandez is hitting .240 with 18 doubles, two triples and 29 walks.
Juan Soto 88 .242 .397 .487 19 41 73
Josh Bell 90 .303 .383 .491 13 48 100
Nelson Cruz 83 .240 .323 .360 8 48 74
César Hernández 90 .240 .302 .302 0 19 86
Keibert Ruiz 70 .259 .319 .361 3 19 66

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