Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/17/2022

The Atlanta Braves (56-37), led by Austin Riley on a two-game home run streak, are -279 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Washington Nationals (30-63). First pitch is set for 1:35 PM ET Sunday, live from Nationals Park. Spencer Strider gets the starting nod for Atlanta while Erasmo Ramirez is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +227 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+227) and Over (9)

Braves vs. Nationals Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Erasmo Ramírez
• Game Day: Sunday, July 17, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Spencer Strider

• Strider gets the start for the Braves, his 10th of the season. He is 4-2 with a 2.82 ERA and 110 strikeouts in 70 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last outing on Tuesday against the New York Mets, the righty went 4 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
• The 23-year-old has a 2.82 ERA and 14.1 strikeouts per nine innings across 20 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .175 to his opponents.
• Strider has three quality starts this year.
• Strider has put up five starts this campaign in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Nationals offense has a collective .248 batting average, and is 10th in the league with 773 total hits and 26th in MLB action with 357 runs scored. It has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.374) and ranks 27th in home runs (72) in all of MLB.
• In nine innings over two appearances against the Nationals this season, Strider has a 3 ERA and a 1 WHIP while his opponents are batting .129.

Nationals Starter Erasmo Ramírez

• Ramirez will take to the mound for the Nationals, his second start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Friday, when he threw 2 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits to the Atlanta Braves.
• He has pitched in 31 games this season with an ERA of 4.57, a 3.444 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.403.
• The Braves rank third in MLB with 443 runs scored this season. They have a .248 batting average this campaign with 147 home runs (second in the league).
• The right-hander has faced the Braves three times this season, allowing them to go 13-for-34 with two doubles, four home runs and nine RBI in 7 1/3 innings.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Braves have been favored 70 times and won 47, or 67.1%, of those games.
• Atlanta has been at least a -279 moneyline favorite three times this season and won each of those games.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 73.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of their 92 games with a total.
• In 92 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 46-46-0 ATS.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been underdogs in 77 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (29.9%) in those contests.
• Washington has played as an underdog of +227 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 30.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Washington and their opponents have hit the over in 46 of their 93 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Nationals are 39-54-0 against the spread in their 93 games that had a posted line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Riley has racked up a team-best 27 home runs and 61 runs batted in.
• Riley is third in homers and eighth in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Riley brings a hitting streak of 12 games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .364 with two doubles, six home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
• Matt Olson has 33 doubles, 17 home runs and 47 walks while batting .255.
• Olson is 24th in homers and 11th in RBI on the year.
• Olson has five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with four home runs and 10 RBI.
• Dansby Swanson paces the Braves with a .289 batting average.
• Swanson is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .158 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .221 with 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 26 walks.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto leads the Nationals with 19 long balls.
• In all of MLB, Soto ranks 17th in home runs and 65th in RBI.
• Josh Bell’s 50 RBI and .314 batting average both pace his team.
• Bell is currently 51st in home runs and 31st in RBI in the big leagues.
• Nelson Cruz is hitting .242 with 13 doubles, eight home runs and 36 walks.
• Cesar Hernandez is hitting .244 with 19 doubles, two triples and 29 walks.