Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/9/2022

by | Jul 9, 2022

The Atlanta Braves (50-35) and Michael Harris II (four hits last time out) are favored (-245) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Washington Nationals (30-56) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Atlanta’s Kyle Wright and Washington’s Patrick Corbin have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Braves vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Braves -245 +199 9.5 -107 -113 -1.5 -126 +105

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Nationals

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +199. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+199) and Over (9.5)

Braves vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Kyle Wright
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
  • Game Day: Saturday, July 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Wright Corbin
16 GS 17
9-4 W-L 4-10
2.91 ERA 5.68
96.0 IP 88.2
31 BB 31
98 SO 79

Braves Starter Kyle Wright

  • Wright (9-4 with a 2.91 ERA and 98 strikeouts in 96 innings pitched) looks for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Braves, his 17th of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Monday, the righty threw 4 2/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, allowing no earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.91, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .223 batting average against him.
  • Wright heads into the matchup with 10 quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Wright will try to secure his 15th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 6.0 innings per appearance.
  • The opposing Nationals offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.373) and ranks 27th in MLB play with 65 home runs. It has a collective .248 batting average, and is ninth in MLB with 714 total hits and 26th in MLB play scoring 335 runs.
  • The 26-year-old’s 2.91 ERA ranks 19th, 1.135 WHIP ranks 28th, and 9.2 K/9 ranks 19th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

  • The Nationals’ Corbin (4-10) will make his 18th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on eight hits in a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of 5.68 and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .309 in 17 games this season.
  • He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
  • Corbin will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • The Braves are batting .249 this season, ninth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .446 (first in the league) with 131 home runs.
  • The Braves have gone 9-for-17 with three doubles and six RBI in 2 2/3 innings this season against the left-hander.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 32-year-old ranks 62nd in ERA (5.68), 63rd in WHIP (1.669), and 38th in K/9 (8.0).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Braves have entered the game as favorites 62 times this season and won 41, or 66.1%, of those games.
  • Atlanta is 8-1 this season when entering a game favored by -245 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 71% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 41 of 84 chances this season.
  • The Braves are 43-41-0 ATS in their 84 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have come away with 23 wins in the 71 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 1-3 when favored by +199 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 33.4% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 86 opportunities.
  • The Nationals have posted a record of 35-51-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Austin Riley has a team-best 21 home runs and 51 runs batted in.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Riley is eighth in homers and 18th in RBI.
  • Riley carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson is batting .299 to lead his team.
  • Swanson ranks 37th in home runs and 22nd in RBI on the year.
  • Swanson enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with two doubles, a walk and four RBI.
  • Matt Olson is batting .258 with 33 doubles, 13 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Olson has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
  • Marcell Ozuna has 11 doubles, 17 home runs and 23 walks while batting .229.
  • Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in seven games in a row. In his last 10 games he is batting .263 with two doubles, three home runs, three walks and five RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Austin Riley 83 .272 .339 .537 21 51 88
Dansby Swanson 85 .299 .356 .491 14 50 97
Matt Olson 85 .258 .349 .479 13 50 84
Marcell Ozuna 81 .229 .284 .427 17 37 72
Travis d’Arnaud 57 .262 .315 .480 11 37 58

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Nationals are lead in runs batted in by Josh Bell with a mark of 47, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .309.
  • Bell is 55th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Juan Soto’s 16 home runs lead his team.
  • Soto ranks 27th in home runs and 81st in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Nelson Cruz is batting .236 with 12 doubles, eight home runs and 34 walks.
  • Cesar Hernandez has 18 doubles, two triples and 27 walks while batting .246.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Josh Bell 85 .309 .392 .498 12 47 95
Juan Soto 83 .232 .387 .456 16 36 66
Nelson Cruz 78 .236 .320 .361 8 46 68
César Hernández 85 .246 .306 .310 0 19 84
Keibert Ruiz 65 .256 .318 .357 3 19 61

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