Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/9/2022

The Atlanta Braves (50-35) and Michael Harris II (four hits last time out) are favored (-245) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Washington Nationals (30-56) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Atlanta’s Kyle Wright and Washington’s Patrick Corbin have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Nationals

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +199. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+199) and Over (9.5)

Braves vs. Nationals Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Kyle Wright
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
• Game Day: Saturday, July 9, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Kyle Wright

• Wright (9-4 with a 2.91 ERA and 98 strikeouts in 96 innings pitched) looks for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Braves, his 17th of the season.
• In his last appearance on Monday, the righty threw 4 2/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, allowing no earned runs while surrendering three hits.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.91, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .223 batting average against him.
• Wright heads into the matchup with 10 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Wright will try to secure his 15th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 6.0 innings per appearance.
• The opposing Nationals offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.373) and ranks 27th in MLB play with 65 home runs. It has a collective .248 batting average, and is ninth in MLB with 714 total hits and 26th in MLB play scoring 335 runs.
• The 26-year-old’s 2.91 ERA ranks 19th, 1.135 WHIP ranks 28th, and 9.2 K/9 ranks 19th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

• The Nationals’ Corbin (4-10) will make his 18th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on eight hits in a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 5.68 and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .309 in 17 games this season.
• He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
• Corbin will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Braves are batting .249 this season, ninth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .446 (first in the league) with 131 home runs.
• The Braves have gone 9-for-17 with three doubles and six RBI in 2 2/3 innings this season against the left-hander.
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 32-year-old ranks 62nd in ERA (5.68), 63rd in WHIP (1.669), and 38th in K/9 (8.0).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have entered the game as favorites 62 times this season and won 41, or 66.1%, of those games.
• Atlanta is 8-1 this season when entering a game favored by -245 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 71% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 41 of 84 chances this season.
• The Braves are 43-41-0 ATS in their 84 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have come away with 23 wins in the 71 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Washington has a win-loss record of 1-3 when favored by +199 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 33.4% chance of pulling out a win.
• Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 86 opportunities.
• The Nationals have posted a record of 35-51-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley has a team-best 21 home runs and 51 runs batted in.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Riley is eighth in homers and 18th in RBI.
• Riley carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Dansby Swanson is batting .299 to lead his team.
• Swanson ranks 37th in home runs and 22nd in RBI on the year.
• Swanson enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with two doubles, a walk and four RBI.
• Matt Olson is batting .258 with 33 doubles, 13 home runs and 46 walks.
• Olson has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
• Marcell Ozuna has 11 doubles, 17 home runs and 23 walks while batting .229.
• Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in seven games in a row. In his last 10 games he is batting .263 with two doubles, three home runs, three walks and five RBI.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Nationals are lead in runs batted in by Josh Bell with a mark of 47, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .309.
• Bell is 55th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Juan Soto’s 16 home runs lead his team.
• Soto ranks 27th in home runs and 81st in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Nelson Cruz is batting .236 with 12 doubles, eight home runs and 34 walks.
• Cesar Hernandez has 18 doubles, two triples and 27 walks while batting .246.