Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/26/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (20-24) will look to Bryce Harper, after his four-hit game last time out, to lead them in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves (21-23) on Thursday at 7:20 PM ET. The Phillies are -101 underdogs for the contest, according to bookmakers. Kyle Wright starts for Atlanta while Aaron Nola is Philadelphia’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Phillies

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (-101) and Over (8)

Braves vs. Phillies Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Kyle Wright
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
• Game Day: Thursday, May 26, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Kyle Wright

• Wright (4-2) takes the mound for the Braves in his ninth start of the season. He has a 2.49 ERA in 47 innings pitched, with 56 strikeouts.
• The righty’s last time out came on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, when he threw five scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
• In eight games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.49, with 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .206 against him.
• Wright enters this game with five quality starts under his belt this season.
• Wright will try to go five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing.
• He meets a Phillies offense that ranks eighth in the league with 200 runs while batting .251 as a unit. It has a collective .412 slugging percentage (fourth in MLB play) and has hit a total of 50 home runs (eighth in MLB).
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 26-year-old ranks 14th in ERA (2.49), 26th in WHIP (1.085), and seventh in K/9 (10.7).

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

• Nola (1-4) will take to the mound for the Phillies and make his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed five hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.96, a 6.4 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .994 in nine games this season.
• In nine starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in four of them.
• Nola will look to pitch five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
• The Braves rank 16th in MLB with 184 runs scored this season. They have a .233 batting average this campaign with 56 home runs (fifth in the league).
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this year, the 28-year-old ranks 41st in ERA (3.96), 14th in WHIP (.994), and fifth in K/9 (11.0).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won 14, or 51.9%, of the 27 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta is 13-11 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
• Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 25 of 44 chances this season.
• The Braves have an ATS record of 20-24-0 in 44 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (42.1%) in those contests.
• This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win eight times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 23 of 44 chances this season.
• The Phillies have an against the spread mark of 22-22-0 in 44 games with a line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ozzie Albies is hitting .251 with eight doubles, six home runs and 12 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Albies is 75th in batting average, 116th in on-base percentage, and 88th in slugging.
• Albies has collected a hit in eight games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .293 with two doubles, two walks and five RBI.
• Matt Olson has 16 doubles, five home runs and 31 walks while hitting .244.
• Olson ranks 68th in homers in the majors, and 126th in RBI.
• Olson enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Austin Riley leads the Braves with nine home runs.
• Riley has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has a club-leading 23 RBI and .261 batting average.
• Dansby Swanson brings an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 outings he is batting .385 with a double, three home runs, two walks and nine RBI.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper paces the Phillies in home runs (10), runs batted in (31) and has posted a team-high batting average of .318.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Harper’s home run total ranks 13th and his RBI tally ranks 12th.
• Harper takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .391 with three doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• Jean Segura is hitting .297 with four doubles, six home runs and 10 walks.
• Segura is 48th in home runs and 97th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .222 with eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 19 walks.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .248 with 10 doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Phillies

After analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Phillies on the moneyline at -101. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.