Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/11/2022

by | Jun 11, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Atlanta Braves 9 Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/11/2022

The Atlanta Braves (32-27) roll into Saturday’s matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (24-32) looking to extend a nine-game winning streak. The contest starts at 4:10 PM ET with the Braves listed as -250 favorites on the moneyline. Atlanta’s Charlie Morton gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Zach Thompson.

Braves vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Braves vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Braves -250 +206 8.5 -119 -101 -1.5 -119 -102

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Pirates

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+206) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Pirates Game Info

  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Charlie Morton
  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Zach Thompson
  • Game Day: Saturday, June 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Morton Thompson
11 GS 10
4-3 W-L 3-4
5.63 ERA 4.60
54.1 IP 45.0
25 BB 17
54 SO 35

Braves Starter Charlie Morton

  • The Braves will send Morton (4-3) to the mound for his 12th start of the season. He is 4-3 with a 5.63 ERA and 54 strikeouts in 54 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, the righty tossed 5 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • The 38-year-old has an ERA of 5.63, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opponents are hitting .270 against him.
  • Morton is looking to secure his second quality start of the year.
  • Morton will look to last five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.3 innings per outing.
  • He will take the hill against a Pirates offense that ranks 28th in MLB with 410 total hits (on a .225 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .355 (28th in MLB) with 48 total home runs (23rd in MLB).

Pirates Starter Zach Thompson

  • The Pirates will hand the ball to Thompson (3-4) for his 11th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he allowed four hits in 5 2/3 scoreless innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.60, a 2.059 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.422 in 11 games this season.
  • In 10 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
  • Thompson will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • The Braves have scored 266 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They have 486 hits, ninth in baseball, with 77 home runs (second in the league).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Braves have been favored 41 times and won 25, or 61%, of those games.
  • Atlanta has played as a favorite of -250 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.4% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 31 of their 59 chances.
  • The Braves are 29-30-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have come away with 17 wins in the 42 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a mark of 3-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +206 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 32.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of their 56 opportunities.
  • The Pirates are 26-30-0 against the spread in their 56 games that had a posted line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Austin Riley paces the Braves with 15 home runs and 34 runs batted in.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Riley’s home run total places him eighth, and his RBI tally puts him 22nd.
  • Matt Olson is hitting .254 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 36 walks.
  • Olson is 61st in home runs and 46th in RBI on the year.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .249 with 15 doubles, seven home runs and 13 walks.
  • Albies will look to build on his six-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .250 with four doubles, a home run and seven RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson has a club-high .282 batting average.
  • Swanson is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .421 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Austin Riley 58 .255 .325 .515 15 34 59
Matt Olson 59 .254 .359 .455 7 30 57
Ozzie Albies 59 .249 .290 .403 7 29 58
Dansby Swanson 59 .282 .350 .441 7 29 60
Marcell Ozuna 56 .226 .270 .394 10 23 50

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes paces the Pirates with 20 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .284.
  • In all of MLB, Hayes is 252nd in home runs and 140th in RBI.
  • Bryan Reynolds has shown his power as he leads his team with eight home runs.
  • Reynolds ranks 50th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 220th in RBI.
  • Michael Chavis has seven doubles, two triples, five home runs and seven walks while hitting .276.
  • Jack Suwinski leads the Pirates with eight home runs.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ke’Bryan Hayes 52 .284 .369 .381 2 20 55
Bryan Reynolds 53 .233 .314 .396 8 14 47
Michael Chavis 48 .276 .312 .455 5 19 40
Jack Suwinski 38 .231 .285 .471 8 16 28
Daniel Vogelbach 40 .230 .314 .415 6 14 31

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +206 after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

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