Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/9/2022

The Atlanta Braves (30-27) will vie for their eighth straight victory when they host the Pittsburgh Pirates (24-30) on Thursday at 7:20 PM ET. The Braves are listed as -275 favorites by bookmakers, while the Pirates are +226 underdogs. Atlanta’s Max Fried and Pittsburgh’s JT Brubaker have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Pirates

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+226) and Over (8)

Braves vs. Pirates Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: JT Brubaker
• Game Day: Thursday, June 9, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Max Fried

• Fried (5-2 with a 2.74 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 69 innings pitched) makes the start for the Braves, his 12th of the season.
• In his last appearance on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, the lefty tossed 8 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering two hits.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.74, with 8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .224 batting average against him.
• Fried is aiming for his fifth straight quality start.
• Fried will aim to last five or more innings for his 12th straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing.
• The opposing Pirates offense has a collective .224 batting average, and is 29th in the league with 394 total hits and 28th in MLB action with 189 runs scored. It has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.357) and ranks 23rd in home runs (47) in all of MLB.
• The 28-year-old ranks 18th in ERA (2.74), 19th in WHIP (1.014), and 30th in K/9 (8) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Pirates Starter JT Brubaker

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Brubaker (0-5) for his 12th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.70, a 2.208 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.452 in 11 games this season.
• He has started 11 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
• In 11 starts this season, Brubaker has lasted five or more innings seven times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
• The Braves are batting .243 this season, 14th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .425 (first in the league) with 76 home runs.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won 23, or 59%, of the 39 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -275.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 73.3% chance to win.
• So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of their 57 games with a total.
• The Braves have an ATS record of 27-30-0 in 57 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (42.5%) in those games.
• Pittsburgh has been listed as an underdog of +226 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 30.7% chance of walking away with the win.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of their 54 opportunities.
• The Pirates are 26-28-0 against the spread in their 54 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley leads the Braves in home runs (15) and runs batted in (34).
• Riley’s home runs place him fifth in the majors, and he is 20th in RBI.
• Matt Olson has 24 doubles, seven home runs and 35 walks while batting .258.
• Olson is 56th in home runs and 48th in RBI on the season.
• Olson heads into this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 outings he is batting .318 with six doubles, two home runs, three walks and 13 RBI.
• Ozzie Albies is batting .248 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 13 walks.
• Albies has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double, a home run and six RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has a club-best .273 batting average.
• Swanson brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double and three walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded a team-high batting average of .285 and leads the Pirates in runs batted in with a mark of 20.
• Hayes’ home run total places him 247th in MLB, and he ranks 132nd in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds has hit a team-high eight home runs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Reynolds ranks 48th in homers and 208th in RBI.
• Daniel Vogelbach is batting .236 with five doubles, a triple, six home runs and 17 walks.
• Michael Chavis is batting .270 with six doubles, two triples, five home runs and seven walks.

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +226 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.