Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/23/2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates (47-75) hope to avoid their fourth straight defeat when they host the Atlanta Braves (76-48) Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. The Braves are listed as -275 favorites, while the Pirates are +225 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid. Max Fried will get the ball for Atlanta while Pittsburgh counter with JT Brubaker.

Braves vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Pirates

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +225. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+225) and Over (8)

Braves vs. Pirates Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: JT Brubaker
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 23, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Max Fried

• Fried gets the start for the Braves, his 24th of the season. He is 11-4 with a 2.60 ERA and 133 strikeouts in 145 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Thursday, the left-hander threw seven innings against the New York Mets, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• The 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.60, with 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .234 batting average against him.
• Fried is trying to build upon a fifth-game quality start streak in this matchup.
• Fried will try to last five or more innings for his 24th straight start. He’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing.
• He will take the hill against a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 887 total hits (on a .221 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .361 (28th in MLB) with 119 total home runs (18th in MLB).
• In six innings over one appearance against the Pirates this season, Fried has a 1.50 ERA and a 1.333 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .333.
• The 28-year-old ranks eighth in ERA (2.60), 19th in WHIP (1.053), and 30th in K/9 (8.2) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Pirates Starter JT Brubaker

• Brubaker (3-10) will take the mound for the Pirates, his 24th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed seven innings without allowing a run on two hits in a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
• The 28-year-old has pitched in 23 games this season with an ERA of 4.19, a 2.696 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.429.
• In 23 starts this season, he’s earned seven quality starts.
• Brubaker has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Braves have scored 602 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .251 for the campaign with 187 home runs, second in the league.
• The right-hander has allowed the Braves to go 6-for-26 with a double and three RBI in seven innings this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have entered the game as favorites 94 times this season and won 65, or 69.1%, of those games.
• Atlanta has a record of 3-1 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -275 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 73.3% chance to win.
• Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 61 of 123 chances this season.
• The Braves are 62-61-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been victorious in 38, or 36.5%, of the 104 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 4-3 when favored by +225 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 30.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 123 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Pirates have posted a record of 63-60-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley paces the Braves with 31 home runs.
• Riley ranks third in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Matt Olson has racked up 83 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Olson is 12th in homers in baseball, and sixth in RBI.
• Dansby Swanson paces the Braves with a team-best batting average of .290.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .274 with 17 doubles, 10 home runs and 43 walks.
• Acuna is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double and two walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates in home runs (20), runs batted in (46) and has posted a team-high batting average of .258.
• In all of the majors, Reynolds is 34th in homers and 106th in RBI.
• Ben Gamel is batting .249 with 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 35 walks.
• Gamel is 247th in home runs and 160th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Michael Chavis is batting .246 with 13 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 13 walks.
• Kevin Newman is hitting .273 with 15 doubles, two triples and 11 walks.