Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/10/2022

The Boston Red Sox (54-57 look to avoid the sweep when they host the Atlanta Braves (65-46) in the final game of a two-game set. Oddsmakers have listed the Braves as -142 favorites, while the Red Sox are +121 underdogs to pick up a win. Kyle Wright will get the ball for Atlanta while Boston counter with Nick Pivetta.

Braves vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Red Sox

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +121. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+121) and Under (9.5)

Braves vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Kyle Wright
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 10, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Kyle Wright

• Wright (13-5 with a 3.22 ERA and 124 strikeouts in 128 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Braves, his 22nd of the season.
• His last time out was on Thursday against the New York Mets, when the righty threw six innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 26-year-old has a 3.22 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 21 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .234 to opposing hitters.
• Wright heads into this game with 14 quality starts under his belt this year.
• Wright will aim to go five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
• He will take the hill against a Red Sox offense that ranks sixth in MLB with 968 total hits (on a .253 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .410 (ninth in MLB) with 110 total home runs (17th in MLB).
• In 4 2/3 innings over one appearance against the Red Sox this season, Wright has an 11.57 ERA and a 2.357 WHIP while his opponents are batting .333.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 26-year-old ranks 26th in ERA (3.22), 35th in WHIP (1.166), and 26th in K/9 (8.7).

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta

• Pivetta (8-8) will take the mound for the Red Sox, his 23rd start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 4.51 and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .253 in 22 games this season.
• In 22 starts this season, he’s earned 10 quality starts.
• Pivetta has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Braves rank 11th in MLB with a .249 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks third in the league (.441) and 168 home runs.
• The 29-year-old’s 4.51 ERA ranks 56th, 1.334 WHIP ranks 51st, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 26th among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 83 games this season and won 55 (66.3%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has a record of 47-20 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -142 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 110 games with a total.
• The Braves are 54-56-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 54 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (40.7%) in those games.
• Boston has a mark of 13-17 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with Boston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 50 of 111 chances this season.
• The Red Sox are 56-55-0 against the spread in their 111 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley has racked up a team-high batting average of .298, and paces the Braves in home runs (30) and runs batted in (74).
• In all of Major League Baseball, Riley is third in home runs and eighth in RBI.
• Riley has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with a double, a triple, a home run and six RBI.
• Matt Olson has 36 doubles, 21 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .248.
• Olson is 24th in homers in MLB, and 12th in RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has 24 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .292.
• Swanson will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .208 with three doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .273 with 13 doubles, nine home runs and 35 walks.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox in home runs (24), runs batted in (60) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .310.
• Devers’ home run total places him 13th in MLB, and he ranks 28th in RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts’ .310 batting average leads his team.
• Bogaerts is currently 145th in homers and 78th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Alex Verdugo has 26 doubles, seven home runs and 23 walks while hitting .272.
• J.D. Martinez has 34 doubles, nine home runs and 34 walks while batting .281.