Braves vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/1/2022

The Atlanta Braves (44-33), led by the red-hot Adam Duvall and his two-game homer streak, are -261 favorites to pick up a win over the Cincinnati Reds (26-49) Friday at 6:40 PM ET, live from Great American Ball Park. Atlanta’s Max Fried and Cincinnati’s Mike Minor have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Reds

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +214. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+214) and Over (9.5)

Braves vs. Reds Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Mike Minor
• Game Day: Friday, July 1, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Max Fried

• Fried gets the start for the Braves, his 16th of the season. He is 7-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 92 strikeouts in 94 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent outing on Saturday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the lefty threw 6 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
• In 15 games this season, the 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.77, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .234 against him.
• Fried is looking for his third straight quality start.
• Fried will look to build on a 16-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing).
• The opposing Reds offense has a collective .243 batting average, and is 19th in the league with 603 total hits and 15th in MLB action with 329 runs scored. It has the 18th-ranked slugging percentage (.384) and ranks 20th in home runs (71) in all of MLB.
• Fried has pitched 5 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs on eight hits while striking out five against the Reds this season.
• The 28-year-old ranks 15th in ERA (2.77), 18th in WHIP (1.049), and 26th in K/9 (8.8) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Reds Starter Mike Minor

• The Reds will hand the ball to Minor (1-4) for his sixth start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed eight hits in 5 2/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants.
• The 34-year-old has an ERA of 7.71 and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .298 in five games this season.
• In five starts this season, Minor has not yet earned a quality start.
• Minor has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Braves have scored 362 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They are batting .246 for the campaign with 116 home runs, second in the league.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won 35, or 64.8%, of the 54 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta has been at least a -261 moneyline favorite three times this season and won each of those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.3% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 39 of their 76 chances.
• In 76 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 37-39-0 ATS.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have won in 21, or 35.6%, of the 59 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• The Reds have won all of their five games in which they were named as at least a +214 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 31.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 76 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Reds have an against the spread record of 34-42-0 in 76 games with a line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Matt Olson is the Braves RBI leader this season, driving in 43 runs to go with his 12 home runs and .253 batting average.
• Including all MLB hitters, Olson ranks 81st in batting average, 45th in on-base percentage, and 33rd in slugging.
• Dansby Swanson has 43 RBI while batting .288. Both are team-highs.
• Swanson ranks 36th in homers in the majors, and 29th in RBI.
• Austin Riley paces the Braves with 18 home runs and 43 runs batted in.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .226 with nine doubles, 14 home runs and 21 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury has put up a team-high 16 home runs and has driven in 40 runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Drury ranks 18th in home runs and 40th in RBI.
• Tommy Pham is batting .252 with nine doubles, 11 home runs and 35 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Pham is 53rd in home runs and 81st in RBI.
• Kyle Farmer leads the Reds’ lineup with a .284 batting average.
• Joey Votto is hitting .224 with 15 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 30 walks.