Brewers vs. Braves Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/16/2022

by | May 15, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Atlanta Braves 9 Brewers vs. Braves Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/16/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (22-13), led by the red-hot Kolten Wong and his two-game homer streak, are -131 favorites to pick up a win over the Atlanta Braves (16-19) Monday at 7:40 PM ET, live from American Family Field. Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta and Atlanta’s Ian Anderson have been named the starters for this contest.

Brewers vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Braves Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -131 +111 7.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +151 -176

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Braves

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+111) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Braves Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Ian Anderson
  • Game Day: Monday, May 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Peralta Anderson
6 GS 6
2-1 W-L 3-1
4.40 ERA 4.20
28.2 IP 30.0
11 BB 16
38 SO 22

Brewers Starter Freddy Peralta

  • The Brewers will send Peralta (2-1) to the mound for his seventh start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 4.40 ERA and 38 strikeouts through 28 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Tuesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
  • In six games this season, the 25-year-old has a 4.40 ERA and 11.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .231 to his opponents.
  • Peralta is trying to collect his second quality start of the season in this matchup.
  • Peralta will look to last five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.2 innings per outing.
  • He will face a Braves team that is batting .226 as a unit (23rd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .395 (ninth in MLB) with 44 total home runs (fifth in MLB).

Braves Starter Ian Anderson

  • Anderson (3-1) will take the mound for the Braves, his seventh start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.20 and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .230 in six games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start one time in six starts this season.
  • Anderson has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Brewers have scored 171 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They are batting .236 for the campaign with 49 home runs, first in the league.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have been favored 31 times and won 20, or 64.5%, of those games.
  • Milwaukee is 19-8 this season when entering a game favored by -131 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of their 35 games with a total.
  • The Brewers are 16-19-0 against the spread in their 35 chances this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Braves have come away with six wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Atlanta has won two of four games when listed as at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Atlanta and their opponents have gone over in 20 of their 35 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Braves have an against the spread record of 14-21-0 in 35 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Christian Yelich is batting .252 with eight doubles, a triple, five home runs and 18 walks.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Yelich is 43rd in homers and 32nd in RBI.
  • Rowdy Tellez’s 29 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
  • Tellez ranks 12th in home runs and third in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Tellez has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Willy Adames has launched a team-high nine homers.
  • Wong has a club-best .257 batting average.
  • Wong is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with a double, two home runs, six walks and three RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Christian Yelich 34 .252 .352 .455 5 20 31
Rowdy Tellez 34 .248 .307 .530 8 29 29
Willy Adames 35 .208 .304 .462 9 24 27
Kolten Wong 32 .257 .333 .431 3 12 28
Hunter Renfroe 32 .228 .262 .488 9 15 28

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Matt Olson paces the Braves with a team-leading batting average of .262.
  • Olson’s home run total places him 62nd in MLB, and he is 72nd in RBI.
  • Olson takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .232 with six doubles, six home runs and 11 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Albies is 27th in homers and 72nd in RBI.
  • Austin Riley has seven home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Marcell Ozuna is hitting .206 with five doubles, five home runs and eight walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Matt Olson 35 .262 .374 .462 4 15 34
Ozzie Albies 35 .232 .292 .406 6 15 32
Austin Riley 34 .237 .329 .466 7 15 31
Marcell Ozuna 35 .206 .252 .353 5 14 28
Dansby Swanson 35 .220 .295 .398 4 16 26

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Braves

We have the Braves on the moneyline at +111 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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