Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/5/2022

Seeking their 48th win of the year, the Milwaukee Brewers (47-35) are favorites (-140) on the moneyline when they take on the Chicago Cubs (32-48) Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET. Milwaukee’s Jason Alexander gets the start, and he’ll go against Chicago’s Kyle Hendricks.

Brewers vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Cubs

Our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +119 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+119) and Over (9)

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Jason Alexander
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 5, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Jason Alexander

• Alexander (2-0 with a 3.82 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 30 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his sixth of the season.
• The right-hander last appeared in relief on Thursday, when he threw 2 2/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
• The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.82, with 4.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in seven games this season. Opponents are batting .328 against him.
• Alexander enters this game with one quality start under his belt this year.
• Alexander has pitched five or more innings in a game four times this season entering this game.
• He will match up with a Cubs offense that ranks ninth in MLB with 676 total hits (on a .248 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .399 (13th in MLB) with 81 total home runs (18th in MLB).
• Alexander has a 2.57 ERA and a 1.429 WHIP against the Cubs this season in seven innings pitched, allowing a .280 batting average over one appearance.

Cubs Starter Kyle Hendricks

• Hendricks (4-6) will take the mound for the Cubs, his 16th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds.
• The 32-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with an ERA of 4.76 and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .263.
• He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
• Hendricks has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Brewers have scored 379 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They have 646 hits, 14th in baseball, with 114 home runs (third in the league).
• The Brewers have gone 18-for-58 with six doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 RBI in three games against the right-hander this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 32-year-old’s 4.76 ERA ranks 56th, 1.291 WHIP ranks 46th, and 6.9 K/9 ranks 53rd.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 64 times and won 37, or 57.8%, of those games.
• Milwaukee is 28-15 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 42 of their 82 chances.
• In 82 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 38-44-0 ATS.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have been victorious in 22, or 40%, of the 55 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Chicago has come away with a win 15 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of their 80 opportunities.
• The Cubs have posted a record of 40-40-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez is the Brewers best power hitter, connecting on 16 homers this season in addition to delivering 53 RBI, both team highs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Tellez is 106th in batting average, 103rd in on-base percentage, and 35th in slugging.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .253 to lead his team.
• Including all major league hitters, Yelich ranks 100th in homers and 116th in RBI.
• Willy Adames has a team-best 16 home runs.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .252 with 12 doubles, seven home runs and 23 walks.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras has 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .274.
• In all of the majors, Contreras is 39th in homers and 78th in RBI.
• Ian Happ is hitting .283 to lead the lineup.
• Happ is 100th in home runs and 66th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Patrick Wisdom has been a significant run producer for the Cubs with 17 home runs and 45 runs batted in.
• Nico Hoerner is batting .310 with eight doubles, three triples, four home runs and 11 walks.