Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/19/2022

Following a two-homer game in a win over the Dodgers, Andrew McCutchen leads the Milwaukee Brewers (63-54) into action as -138 favorites against the Chicago Cubs (50-67). First pitch from Wrigley Field at 2:20 PM ET on Friday. Aaron Ashby will get the ball for Milwaukee while Chicago counter with Keegan Thompson.

Brewers vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Cubs

Our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +118 after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+118) and Under (9)

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson
• Game Day: Friday, August 19, 2022
• Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Aaron Ashby

• Ashby makes the start for the Brewers, his 17th of the season. He is 2-10 with a 4.24 ERA and 108 strikeouts in 91 1/3 innings pitched.
• The left-hander’s most recent time out was on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw six innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing three hits.
• In 22 games this season, the 24-year-old has a 4.24 ERA and 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .245 to opposing hitters.
• Ashby has recorded three quality starts this season.
• Ashby has put together seven starts this campaign in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Cubs offense has a collective .244 batting average, and is 16th in the league with 966 total hits and 21st in MLB action with 487 runs scored. It has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.396) and ranks 15th in home runs (121) in all of MLB.
• Head-to-head against the Cubs this season, Ashby has pitched 7 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on eight hits while striking out 13.

Cubs Starter Keegan Thompson

• The Cubs’ Thompson (9-5) will make his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 1 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on two hits in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
• The 27-year-old has pitched in 24 games this season with an ERA of 3.67 and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .248.
• He has earned a quality start four times in 16 starts this season.
• In 16 starts, Thompson has pitched through or past the fifth inning nine times. He has a season average of 4.1 frames per outing.
• The Brewers have scored 527 runs this season, which ranks 13th in MLB. They have 922 hits, 21st in baseball, with 160 home runs (fourth in the league).
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Brewers in one game, and they have gone 0-for-8 over 2 2/3 innings.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have won 52, or 57.1%, of the 91 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Milwaukee has entered 63 games this season favored by -138 or more and is 38-25 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 58%.
• Games involving Milwaukee have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 59 of 117 chances this season.
• The Brewers have an ATS record of 48-69-0 in 117 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 81 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (40.7%) in those games.
• This season, Chicago has come away with a win 19 times in 51 chances when named as an underdog of at least +118 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 45.9% chance of walking away with the win.
• Chicago and their opponents have gone over in 53 of their 119 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Cubs have an against the spread mark of 61-58-0 in 119 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Brewers best power option comes in the form of Rowdy Tellez and his 24-home-run 72-RBI season, both team highs.
• Tellez’s home runs place him 18th in MLB, and he ranks 17th in RBI.
• McCutchen’s .253 batting average paces his team.
• McCutchen ranks 89th in homers and 66th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .250 with 18 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 65 walks.
• Yelich is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .167 with a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Willy Adames is hitting .218 with 17 doubles, 23 home runs and 34 walks.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ is hitting .280 with 31 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 46 walks.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Happ’s home run total ranks 98th and his RBI tally ranks 62nd.
• Willson Contreras is batting .249 with 21 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 40 walks.
• Contreras ranks 36th in homers and 86th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs with a team-high batting average of .300.
• Patrick Wisdom leads the Cubs in home runs (21) and runs batted in (55).