Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/20/2022

The Chicago Cubs (51-67) will vie for their fifth straight victory when they host the Milwaukee Brewers (63-55) on Saturday at 2:20 PM ET. The Brewers are listed as -140 favorites to stop the streak, while the Cubs are +119 underdogs to keep their momentum. Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta gets the start, and he’ll go against Chicago’s Marcus Stroman.

Brewers vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Cubs

We have the Cubs on the moneyline at +119 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+119) and Over (8.5)

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
• Game Day: Saturday, August 20, 2022
• Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Freddy Peralta

• Peralta (4-3) takes the mound for the Brewers in his 12th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.21 ERA in 51 1/3 innings pitched, with 60 strikeouts.
• The righty last pitched on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he went four innings, allowing one earned run while giving up two hits.
• In 11 games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.21, with 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .214 against him.
• Peralta has two quality starts under his belt this season.
• Peralta has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this season entering this matchup.
• He will face a Cubs offense that ranks 20th in the league with 495 runs while batting .244 as a squad. It has a collective .397 slugging percentage (13th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 123 home runs (15th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Cubs this season, Peralta has thrown four innings, giving up three earned runs on three hits while striking out six.

Cubs Starter Marcus Stroman

• Stroman (3-5) will take the mound for the Cubs, his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up no earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
• The 31-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 3.96 and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .242.
• He has started 16 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in six of them.
• In 16 starts this season, Stroman has lasted five or more innings 10 times, with an average of 5.1 innings per appearance.
• The Brewers have scored 534 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They have 931 hits, 21st in baseball, with 163 home runs (fourth in the league).
• The right-hander has allowed the Brewers to go 4-for-37 with a double, a home run and an RBI in 12 innings this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 92 times and won 52, or 56.5%, of those games.
• Milwaukee has entered 64 games this season favored by -140 or more and is 38-26 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 58.3%.
• So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of their 118 games with a total.
• The Brewers are 48-70-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (41.5%) in those games.
• This year, Chicago has won 20 of 52 games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 54 of their 120 opportunities.
• The Cubs have posted a record of 62-58-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Brewers best power option comes in the form of Rowdy Tellez and his 25-homer 73-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Tellez ranks 15th in home runs and 16th in RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .253 to lead his team.
• McCutchen is 77th in homers and 61st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• McCutchen carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with three home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Christian Yelich is batting .252 with 18 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 65 walks.
• Yelich has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Willy Adames is hitting .219 with 17 doubles, 23 home runs and 35 walks.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ is hitting .282 with 31 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 46 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .358.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Happ’s home run total ranks 98th and his RBI tally is 61st.
• Happ carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
• Willson Contreras is hitting .248 with 21 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 41 walks.
• Contreras is 37th overall in home runs and 80th in RBI this year.
• Nico Hoerner paces the Cubs with a team-best batting average of .299.
• Patrick Wisdom leads the Cubs with 22 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 57.