Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/26/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (65-58) are set to take on the Chicago Cubs (54-71) Friday at 8:10 PM ET. The Brewers are listed as -158 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Cubs have +135 odds for the contest. Freddy Peralta takes the mound for Milwaukee while Justin Steele is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Cubs

We have the Cubs on the moneyline at +135 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+135) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Justin Steele
• Game Day: Friday, August 26, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Freddy Peralta

• The Brewers are sending Peralta (4-3) to make his 13th start of the season. He is 4-3 with a 4.08 ERA and 65 strikeouts in 57 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Saturday, the righty went 6 2/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.08, with 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 12 games this season. Opponents have a .210 batting average against him.
• Peralta is looking to collect his fourth quality start of the year.
• Peralta has pitched five or more innings in a game seven times this season heading into this matchup.
• The opposing Cubs offense has a collective .241 batting average, and is 15th in the league with 1019 total hits and 22nd in MLB action with 518 runs scored. It has the 16th-ranked slugging percentage (.391) and ranks 15th in home runs (127) in all of MLB.
• Peralta has thrown 10 innings, giving up five earned runs on seven hits while striking out 11 against the Cubs this season.

Cubs Starter Justin Steele

• Steele (4-7) will take to the mound for the Cubs and make his 24th start of the season.
• The left-hander did not allow a run in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
• The 27-year-old has pitched to a 3.25 ERA this season with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.6 walks per nine across 23 games.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his fourth quality start in a row.
• Steele will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
• The Brewers rank 11th in MLB with 555 runs scored this season. They have a .233 batting average this campaign with 171 home runs (third in the league).
• The left-hander has allowed the Brewers to go 18-for-93 with three doubles and six RBI in 25 2/3 innings this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have won 53 out of the 94 games, or 56.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Milwaukee has entered 49 games this season favored by -158 or more and is 29-20 in those contests.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.2% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of their 123 opportunities.
• The Brewers are 50-73-0 ATS in their 123 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have been victorious in 37, or 42%, of the 88 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Chicago has come away with a win 15 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 57 of their 127 opportunities.
• The Cubs are 66-61-0 against the spread in their 127 games that had a posted line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has gone yard 26 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 74 runs, both totals that lead the Brewers.
• In all of the majors, Tellez is 13th in home runs and 18th in RBI.
• Willy Adames has 19 doubles, 25 home runs and 37 walks while batting .226.
• Adames is 19th in homers and 19th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Christian Yelich paces the Brewers with a .254 batting average.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .243 with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 40 walks.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ has racked up a team-leading 58 runs batted in.
• Happ’s home run total puts him 94th in MLB, and he is 55th in RBI.
• Happ carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.
• Willson Contreras is hitting .248 with 21 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Contreras ranks 35th in home runs and 79th in RBI.
• Nico Hoerner has accumulated a team-best batting average of .291.
• Patrick Wisdom leads the Cubs in home runs (22) and runs batted in (58).