Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/27/2022

The Chicago Cubs (55-71) and Ian Happ (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+168) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers (65-59) on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET. Brandon Woodruff takes the mound for Milwaukee while Drew Smyly is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Cubs

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +168. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+168) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Drew Smyly
• Game Day: Saturday, August 27, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Brandon Woodruff

• The Brewers are sending Woodruff (9-3) out to make his 20th start of the season as he goes for his 10th victory. He is 9-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 122 strikeouts in 102 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Sunday, the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• The 29-year-old has a 3.51 ERA and 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 19 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .226 to opposing hitters.
• Woodruff is trying to pick up his ninth quality start of the year in this game.
• Woodruff will look to pitch five or more innings for his 11th straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
• He will face a Cubs offense that ranks 22nd in the league with 522 runs while batting .240 as a squad. It has a collective .390 slugging percentage (16th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 129 home runs (16th in MLB).
• Woodruff has thrown 9 1/3 innings, giving up nine earned runs on 10 hits while striking out seven against the Cubs this season.

Cubs Starter Drew Smyly

• The Cubs will send Smyly (5-7) to the mound for his 18th start this season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw seven innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
• The 33-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 3.47 and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .252.
• He has earned a quality start three times in 17 starts this season.
• Smyly has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Brewers are batting .233 this season, 22nd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .409 (ninth in the league) with 173 home runs.
• The Brewers have gone 0-for-9 in one game against the left-hander this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have won 53 out of the 95 games, or 55.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, Milwaukee has won 15 of its 24 games, or 62.5%, when favored by at least -199 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 66.6% chance to win.
• So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 63 of their 124 games with a total.
• The Brewers are 50-74-0 ATS in their 124 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have come away with 38 wins in the 89 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Chicago has a win-loss record of 3-13 when favored by +168 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 37.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Chicago and their opponents have hit the over in 57 of their 128 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Cubs have posted a record of 67-61-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers in home runs (27) and runs batted in (75).
• Among all hitters in baseball, Tellez’s home run total ranks him 11th, and his RBI tally puts him 17th.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .254 to pace his team.
• Yelich ranks 159th in home runs in baseball, and 157th in RBI.
• Willy Adames is hitting .227 with 20 doubles, 25 home runs and 38 walks.
• Adames is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .243 with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 41 walks.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Happ has put up a team-leading 62 runs batted in.
• Happ is 72nd in home runs and 45th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Happ has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
• Willson Contreras has 21 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 42 walks while batting .245.
• Among all MLB hitters, Contreras is 37th in home runs and 80th in RBI.
• Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs’ lineup with a .288 batting average.
• Patrick Wisdom has swatted a team-high 22 long balls.