Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/1/2022

Willy Adames is on the brink of his 100th hit of the season for the Milwaukee Brewers (69-60) as they get set to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (61-68) on Thursday. The Brewers enter the matchup as -136 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Chase Field at 9:40 PM ET. Milwaukee’s Brandon Woodruff and Arizona’s Merrill Kelly have been named the starters for this contest.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Diamondbacks

We have the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +115 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly
• Game Day: Thursday, September 1, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Brandon Woodruff

• Woodruff will try to grab his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Brewers, his 21st of the season. He is 9-3 with a 3.31 ERA and 132 strikeouts in 108 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, when he went six scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
• The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.31, with 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 20 games this season. Opponents have a .224 batting average against him.
• Woodruff is looking to record his 10th quality start of the season.
• Woodruff will look to go five or more innings for his 12th straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
• He will face off against a Diamondbacks offense that ranks 28th in MLB with 983 total hits (on a .231 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .388 (16th in MLB) with 140 total home runs (14th in MLB).

Diamondbacks Starter Merrill Kelly

• Kelly (11-5) will take to the mound for the Diamondbacks and make his 27th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 7 1/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 2.97 and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .225 in 26 games this season.
• In 26 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 15 of them.
• Kelly will look to pitch five or more innings for the 19th start in a row.
• The Brewers rank ninth in MLB with 589 runs scored this season. They have a .236 batting average this campaign with 181 home runs (third in the league).
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 33-year-old’s 2.97 ERA ranks 14th, 1.129 WHIP ranks 26th, and 7.7 K/9 ranks 35th.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have won 57, or 57%, of the 100 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Milwaukee is 44-29 this season when entering a game favored by -136 or more on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 65 of their 129 opportunities.
• The Brewers are 54-75-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have won in 43, or 43.4%, of the 99 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Arizona has been victorious 30 times in 72 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 64 of their 134 opportunities.
• In 134 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 77-57-0 against the spread.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has a team-best 27 homers.
• Including all MLB hitters, Tellez is 123rd in batting average, 86th in on-base percentage, and 31st in slugging.
• Christian Yelich has a club-high .260 batting average.
• Yelich ranks 136th in homers and 124th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Adames paces the Brewers with 77 runs batted in.
• Andrew McCutchen has 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .244.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 30 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 73.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Walker ranks eighth in homers and 26th in RBI.
• Walker carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .389 with a double, four walks and an RBI.
• Ketel Marte has 34 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks while batting .251.
• Marte is 155th in home runs and 124th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Daulton Varsho has 20 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .239.
• Josh Rojas leads the team in batting average with a mark of .276.