Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/2/2022

by | Sep 2, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Arizona Diamondbacks 9 Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/2/2022

Josh Rojas is on the brink of his 100th hit of the season for the Arizona Diamondbacks (62-68) as they get set to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (69-61) on Friday. The Diamondbacks enter the matchup as -104 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Chase Field at 9:40 PM ET. Eric Lauer will get the ball for Milwaukee while Arizona counter with Zach Davies.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -114 -104 8.5 -114 -107 -1.5 +139 -166

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Diamondbacks

After analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at -104. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (-104) and Over (8.5)

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
  • Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Zach Davies
  • Game Day: Friday, September 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Stadium: Chase Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Lauer Davies
24 GS 21
10-5 W-L 2-4
3.58 ERA 3.82
135.2 IP 108.1
51 BB 38
129 SO 80

Brewers Starter Eric Lauer

  • Lauer gets the start for the Brewers, his 25th of the season. He is 10-5 with a 3.58 ERA and 129 strikeouts in 135 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday against the Chicago Cubs, when he went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.58, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 24 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .231 batting average against him.
  • Lauer has 11 quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Lauer will look to build upon a seven-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance).
  • He will take the hill against a Diamondbacks team that is batting .232 as a unit (23rd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .389 (16th in MLB) with 141 total home runs (14th in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old’s 3.58 ERA ranks 34th, 1.238 WHIP ranks 39th, and 8.6 K/9 ranks 24th.

Diamondbacks Starter Zach Davies

  • Davies (2-4) will take to the mound for the Diamondbacks and make his 22nd start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched to a 3.82 ERA this season with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.2 walks per nine across 21 games.
  • He has started 21 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
  • Davies will look to pitch five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
  • The Brewers have scored 589 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They are batting .236 for the campaign with 181 home runs, third in the league.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won 57 out of the 101 games, or 56.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 55-43, a 56.1% win rate, when favored by -114 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • Games involving Milwaukee have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 65 of 130 chances this season.
  • The Brewers are 54-76-0 ATS in their 130 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 100 games this season and have come away with the win 44 times (44%) in those contests.
  • Arizona has a win-loss record of 41-53 when favored by -104 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Contests with Arizona have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 64 of 135 chances this season.
  • The Diamondbacks are 78-57-0 against the spread in their 135 games that had a posted line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit a team-high 27 home runs.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Tellez ranks 15th in home runs and 24th in RBI.
  • Christian Yelich is hitting .259 to lead his team.
  • Yelich is 138th in homers and 127th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Willy Adames has a team-best 77 runs batted in.
  • Adames is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .304 with a double and two RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .244 with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 42 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rowdy Tellez 123 .226 .317 .467 27 75 96
Christian Yelich 125 .259 .360 .387 11 45 121
Willy Adames 108 .230 .291 .459 26 77 100
Andrew McCutchen 110 .244 .312 .390 14 56 105
Hunter Renfroe 95 .258 .322 .506 23 58 92

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks in home runs (31) and runs batted in (75).
  • Walker’s home run total puts him sixth in MLB, and he is 24th in RBI.
  • Walker carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .471 with a double, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
  • Ketel Marte is batting .251 with 35 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Marte ranks 156th in home runs and 127th in RBI.
  • Daulton Varsho is batting .237 with 20 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Rojas paces the Diamondbacks with a .278 batting average.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Christian Walker 128 .236 .334 .486 31 75 108
Ketel Marte 113 .251 .332 .418 10 45 103
Daulton Varsho 120 .237 .307 .424 18 58 101
Josh Rojas 97 .278 .354 .402 7 44 99
Alek Thomas 96 .248 .297 .376 8 35 82

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