Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/3/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (69-62) are -179 favorites when they take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (63-68) on Saturday at 8:10 PM ET. Rowdy Tellez has 97 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Chase Field. Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes gets the start, and he’ll go against Arizona’s Madison Bumgarner.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Diamondbacks

We have the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +151 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+151) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner
• Game Day: Saturday, September 3, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

• Burnes looks for his 10th win when he makes the start for the Brewers, his 27th of the season. He is 9-6 with a 3.01 ERA and 195 strikeouts in 158 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Tuesday, the right-hander threw 6 2/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up five earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
• The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.01, with 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 26 games this season. Opponents are batting .196 against him.
• Burnes is looking to pick up his 18th quality start of the year in this matchup.
• Burnes is looking to record his 24th start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
• The opposing Diamondbacks offense has the 17th-ranked slugging percentage (.388) and is 14th in MLB play with 141 home runs. It has a collective .232 batting average, and is 26th in MLB with 999 total hits and 15th in MLB action scoring 579 runs.
• This season, the 27-year-old ranks 14th in ERA (3.01), eighth in WHIP (.985), and third in K/9 (11.1) among qualifying pitchers.

Diamondbacks Starter Madison Bumgarner

• The Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Bumgarner (6-13) for his 27th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up seven earned runs while allowing 11 hits.
• The 33-year-old has pitched to a 4.87 ERA this season with 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.8 walks per nine across 26 games.
• In 26 starts this season, he’s earned five quality starts.
• Bumgarner has made 22 starts of five or more innings in 26 chances this season, and averages 5.1 frames when he pitches.
• The Brewers have scored 590 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They have 1034 hits, 22nd in baseball, with 181 home runs (third in the league).
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign, the 33-year-old ranks 46th in ERA (4.87), 50th in WHIP (1.471), and 46th in K/9 (6.5).

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have been favorites in 102 games this season and won 57 (55.9%) of those contests.
• Milwaukee has a record of 21-16, a 56.8% win rate, when favored by -179 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 64.2% chance to win.
• So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of their 131 games with a total.
• The Brewers are 54-77-0 against the spread in their 131 chances this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 45, or 44.6%, of the 101 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Arizona has won 12 of 38 games when listed as at least +151 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 39.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Arizona and their opponents have gone over in 64 of their 136 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Diamondbacks are 79-57-0 against the spread in their 136 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Tellez has hit a team-best 27 home runs.
• Tellez’s home runs place him 15th in the majors, and he is 24th in RBI.
• Christian Yelich is batting .259 to pace his team.
• Yelich is 140th in home runs and 132nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Willy Adames leads the Brewers with 77 runs batted in.
• Adames will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .304 with a double and two RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen has 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 43 walks while hitting .242.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks with 31 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 75.
• In all of MLB, Walker is seventh in home runs and 24th in RBI.
• Walker brings a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .563 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
• Ketel Marte is hitting .249 with 35 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks.
• Marte is currently 157th in homers and 132nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Daulton Varsho is batting .237 with 20 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 40 walks.
• Josh Rojas leads the Diamondbacks with a team-high batting average of .275.