Brewers vs. Giants Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/14/2022

by | Jul 14, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to pick up their 50th win of the season when they take on the San Francisco Giants (45-42) Thursday. The game begins at 9:45 PM ET, with the Brewers listed as -113 favorites on the moneyline. Corbin Burnes will get the ball for Milwaukee while San Francisco counter with Carlos Rodon.

Brewers vs. Giants Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Giants Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -113 -106 6.5 -109 -111 -1.5 +164 -199

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Giants

We have the Giants on the moneyline at -106 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: San Francisco Giants (-106) and Over (6.5)

Brewers vs. Giants Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
  • San Francisco Giants probable starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón
  • Game Day: Thursday, July 14, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:45 PM ET
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Stadium: Oracle Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Pitching Matchup

Burnes Rodón
17 GS 17
7-4 W-L 8-5
2.20 ERA 2.70
106.1 IP 100.0
26 BB 32
134 SO 124

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes (7-4) takes the mound for the Brewers in his 18th start of the season. He has a 2.20 ERA in 106 1/3 innings pitched, with 134 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, July 6 against the Chicago Cubs, the righty threw 7 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering three hits.
  • The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.20, with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opponents have a .182 batting average against him.
  • Burnes is aiming to secure his sixth straight quality start in this matchup.
  • Burnes will look to extend a six-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing).
  • He will face a Giants offense that ranks 23rd in MLB with 689 total hits (on a .238 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .401 (12th in MLB) with 105 total home runs (10th in MLB).
  • Head-to-head against the Giants this season, Burnes has pitched 6 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run on two hits, while striking out 11.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old’s 2.20 ERA ranks sixth, .893 WHIP ranks fourth, and 11.3 K/9 ranks fourth.

Giants Starter Carlos Rodón

  • The Giants will send Rodon (8-5) to the mound for his 18th start this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 9 2/3 innings against the San Diego Padres, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 2.70 and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .204.
  • He has 10 quality starts in 17 chances this season.
  • Rodon will look to pitch five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
  • The Brewers rank 11th in MLB with 403 runs scored this season. They have a .235 batting average this campaign with 122 home runs (fourth in the league).
  • The 29-year-old ranks 12th in ERA (2.70), 18th in WHIP (1.060), and fifth in K/9 (11.2) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 69 times this season and won 38, or 55.1%, of those games.
  • This season, Milwaukee has won 38 of its 68 games, or 55.9%, when favored by at least -113 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 53.1%.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of their 89 games with a total this season.
  • In 89 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 39-50-0 ATS.

Giants Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Giants have been chosen as underdogs in 22 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (36.4%) in those games.
  • This season, San Francisco has come away with a win seven times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 51.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • San Francisco and their opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 88 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Giants have posted a record of 42-45-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez has racked up a team-best 55 runs batted in.
  • Tellez’s home runs rank him 22nd in the majors, and he ranks 18th in RBI.
  • Christian Yelich is batting .250 with 12 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 44 walks.
  • Yelich ranks 118th in homers and 138th in RBI on the season.
  • Yelich has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .188 with a double and two walks.
  • Willy Adames paces the Brewers with 18 home runs.
  • Andrew McCutchen’s .256 batting average paces his team.
  • McCutchen is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rowdy Tellez 84 .227 .302 .458 17 55 67
Christian Yelich 84 .250 .345 .383 8 31 79
Willy Adames 67 .215 .288 .475 18 49 56
Andrew McCutchen 73 .256 .320 .391 9 37 74
Kolten Wong 66 .227 .314 .391 6 22 51

Giants Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Wilmer Flores has racked up a team-leading 50 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Flores is 47th in home runs and 25th in RBI.
  • Flores brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .450 with three doubles, four home runs and nine RBI.
  • Thairo Estrada is hitting .262 to lead the lineup.
  • Estrada ranks 101st in homers and 91st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Joc Pederson has 17 home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Mike Yastrzemski has 19 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 36 walks while hitting .235.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Wilmer Flores 82 .254 .340 .452 13 50 72
Thairo Estrada 76 .262 .314 .426 9 36 69
Joc Pederson 76 .253 .332 .524 17 41 57
Mike Yastrzemski 78 .235 .332 .408 8 34 61
Darin Ruf 77 .226 .337 .353 7 30 53

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