Brewers vs. Mets Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/15/2022

Seeking their 35th win of the year, the Milwaukee Brewers (34-29) are favorites (-123) on the moneyline when they take on the New York Mets (41-22) Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET. Corbin Burnes starts for Milwaukee while David Peterson is New York’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Mets

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+104) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Mets Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: David Peterson
• Game Day: Wednesday, June 15, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

• Burnes gets the start for the Brewers, his 13th of the season. He is 3-4 with a 2.48 ERA and 92 strikeouts through 72 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance came on Thursday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the right-hander threw 4 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.48, with 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 12 games this season. Opponents are batting .199 against him.
• Burnes is looking to record his ninth quality start of the year.
• Burnes has put together 10 starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He will face a Mets offense that ranks first in the league with 320 runs while batting .264 as a unit. It has a collective .406 slugging percentage (ninth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 59 home runs (19th in MLB).
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 27-year-old’s 2.48 ERA ranks 13th, .963 WHIP ranks ninth, and 11.4 K/9 ranks fourth.

Mets Starter David Peterson

• Peterson (3-0) will take the mound for the Mets, his seventh start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Saturday when he threw 2 2/3 innings out of the bullpen against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.00 and 8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .209 in eight games this season.
• He has one quality starts in six chances this season.
• Peterson has three starts of five or more innings this season in six chances. He averages 4.2 innings per outing.
• The Brewers rank 16th in MLB with 267 runs scored this season. They have a .229 batting average this campaign with 80 home runs (third in the league).

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have been favorites in 53 games this season and won 29 (54.7%) of those contests.
• Milwaukee is 28-17 this season when entering a game favored by -123 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 55.2%.
• Games involving Milwaukee have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 30 of 63 chances this season.
• In 63 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 26-37-0 ATS.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (55.6%) in those contests.
• This season, New York has been victorious seven times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 32 of 65 chances this season.
• In 63 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 39-24-0 against the spread.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has racked up a team-high batting average of .248 and paces the Brewers in runs batted in (38).
• Tellez is 38th in homers and 18th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .242 with nine doubles, two triples, six home runs and 27 walks.
• Yelich ranks 105th in homers and 136th in RBI in the majors.
• Yelich carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 outings he is batting .293 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Willy Adames has racked up a team-high 11 home runs.
• Jace Peterson is batting .221 with six doubles, two triples, six home runs and 16 walks.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has a team-leading 18 home runs and has driven in 59 runs.
• Alonso is second in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Alonso carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .375 with two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .245 with nine doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks.
• Lindor is 47th in homers and seventh in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Starling Marte has 11 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 10 walks while batting .277.
• Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with a .321 batting average.

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Mets

After looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Mets on the moneyline at +104. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.