Brewers vs. Padres Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/3/2022

Expect a pitchers’ duel Friday when Corbin Burnes (1.95 ERA, seventh in MLB) and the Milwaukee Brewers (33-20) take on Joe Musgrove (1.86, sixth in MLB) and the San Diego Padres (30-21). Burnes and the Brewers are -150 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup, which starts at 8:10 PM ET. Milwaukee sends Burnes (3-2) out for his 11th start this season, and Musgrove (5-0) makes his 10th start this year for San Diego.

Brewers vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Padres

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+128) and Over (6.5)

Brewers vs. Padres Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
• Game Day: Friday, June 3, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

• Burnes (3-2) gets the starting nod for the Brewers in his 11th start of the season. He’s put together a 1.95 ERA in 64 2/3 innings pitched, with 78 strikeouts.
• In his last appearance on Sunday, the righty tossed seven scoreless innings against the St. Louis Cardinals while surrendering two hits.
• In 10 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed a 1.95 ERA and 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .183 to opposing hitters.
• Burnes is trying to build on a second-game quality start streak in this outing.
• Burnes is seeking his 11th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
• He will take the mound against a Padres offense that is batting .232 as a unit (21st in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .354 (28th in MLB) with 38 total home runs (26th in MLB).
• Burnes has pitched six innings, giving up one earned run on five hits while striking out five against the Padres this season.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 27-year-old ranks seventh in ERA (1.95), second in WHIP (.820), and fourth in K/9 (10.9).

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

• The Padres’ Musgrove (5-0) will make his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw six innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up one earned run while allowing six hits.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 1.86 and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .215.
• He’s going for his 10th quality start in a row.
• Musgrove has nine starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Brewers have scored 243 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They have 412 hits, 12th in baseball, with 70 home runs (second in the league).
• The 29-year-old ranks sixth in ERA (1.86), 15th in WHIP (.983), and 20th in K/9 (9.0) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 45 times this season and won 28, or 62.2%, of those games.
• Milwaukee is 18-9 this season when entering a game favored by -150 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 60% chance to win.
• So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 24 of their 53 games with a total.
• The Brewers are 25-28-0 against the spread in their 53 chances this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been victorious in nine, or 50%, of the 18 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, San Diego has won two of five games when listed as at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 43.9% chance of walking away with the win.
• San Diego and their opponents have gone over in 22 of their 52 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Padres are 26-26-0 against the spread in their 52 games that had a posted line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez paces the Brewers in home runs (10), runs batted in (36) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .253.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Tellez is 21st in home runs and ninth in RBI.
• Tellez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a double and two RBI.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .226 with nine doubles, two triples, five home runs and 25 walks.
• Yelich is 90th in homers and 103rd in RBI in the majors.
• Kolten Wong has seven doubles, three triples, three home runs and 19 walks while hitting .226.
• Wong is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .214 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Tyrone Taylor has nine doubles, a triple, six home runs and eight walks while batting .243.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado paces the Padres in home runs (eight), runs batted in (29) and has posted a team-best batting average of .346.
• Machado’s home run total places him 38th in the majors, and he ranks 24th in RBI.
• Machado brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
• Jurickson Profar is hitting .226 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 27 walks.
• Profar is 61st overall in homers and 75th in RBI this year.
• Eric Hosmer has 10 doubles, four home runs and 18 walks while hitting .302.
• Jake Cronenworth is hitting .206 with eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and 21 walks.

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Padres

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Padres on the moneyline at +128. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.