Brewers vs. Padres Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/4/2022

Seeking their 34th win of the year, the Milwaukee Brewers (33-21) are favorites (-127) on the moneyline when they take on the San Diego Padres (31-21) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Aaron Ashby will get the ball for Milwaukee while San Diego counter with MacKenzie Gore.

Brewers vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Padres

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+109) and Under (7.5)

Brewers vs. Padres Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby
• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
• Game Day: Saturday, June 4, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Aaron Ashby

• The Brewers are sending Ashby (1-3) to the mound to make his sixth start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 2.70 ERA and 51 strikeouts through 40 innings pitched.
• The left-hander last pitched on Monday against the Chicago Cubs, when he tossed six innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
• The 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.70, with 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opponents are batting .200 against him.
• Ashby has one quality start under his belt this year.
• Ashby will look to extend a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 3.2 frames per outing).
• The opposing Padres offense has a collective .234 batting average, and is 18th in the league with 410 total hits and 15th in MLB play with 218 runs scored. It has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.358) and ranks 26th in home runs (39) in all of MLB.
• Ashby has thrown 5 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run on four hits, while striking out five against the Padres this season.

Padres Starter MacKenzie Gore

• The Padres will send Gore (3-1) to the mound for his eighth start this season.
• The left-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
• The 23-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 1.71, a 3.357 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.071.
• He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
• Gore will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Brewers rank 23rd in MLB with a .231 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 10th in the league (.403) and 70 home runs.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 46 times and won 28, or 60.9%, of those games.
• Milwaukee is 27-12 this season when entering a game favored by -127 or more on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have a 55.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 25 of their 54 chances.
• The Brewers are 25-29-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (52.6%) in those contests.
• This season, San Diego has been victorious six times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• San Diego and their opponents have hit the over in 23 of their 53 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 53 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 27-26-0 against the spread.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Rowdy Tellez lead the Brewers in hitting with his .249 average, he also is their premier power option with 10 home runs and 36 RBI.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Tellez ranks 23rd in homers and 10th in RBI.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .223 with nine doubles, two triples, five home runs and 25 walks.
• Yelich ranks 96th in home runs and 111th in RBI in the majors.
• Kolten Wong is hitting .228 with eight doubles, three triples, three home runs and 20 walks.
• Wong will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .308 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
• Tyrone Taylor has nine doubles, a triple, six home runs and eight walks while hitting .237.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado leads the Padres in home runs (nine), runs batted in (32) and has a team-high batting average of .344.
• Machado is 33rd in home runs and 17th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Machado takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with a double, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
• Jurickson Profar has 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 27 walks while hitting .236.
• Profar is currently 64th in homers and 58th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Eric Hosmer is hitting .299 with 10 doubles, four home runs and 18 walks.
• Ha-Seong Kim is batting .221 with eight doubles, a triple, four home runs and 17 walks.

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Padres

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Padres on the moneyline at +109. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 7.5 runs.