Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/30/2022

After a three-homer game in a win over the Nationals last time out, Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates (30-45) into action as +109 underdogs against the Milwaukee Brewers (44-33). First pitch from PNC Park at 7:05 PM ET Thursday. Adrian Houser gets the starting nod for Milwaukee while JT Brubaker is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +109. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+109) and Over (8.5)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Adrian Houser
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: JT Brubaker
• Game Day: Thursday, June 30, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Adrian Houser

• Houser makes the start for the Brewers, his 15th of the season. He is 4-8 with a 4.50 ERA and 57 strikeouts in 74 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the righty went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up nine hits.
• In 14 games this season, the 29-year-old has an ERA of 4.50, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .265 against him.
• Houser has registered five quality starts this year.
• Houser will try to build upon a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per appearance).
• The opposing Pirates offense has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.367) and is 15th in MLB play with 79 home runs. It has a collective .220 batting average, and is 28th in MLB with 538 total hits and 28th in MLB action scoring 274 runs.

Pirates Starter JT Brubaker

• The Pirates will send Brubaker (1-7) to the mound for his 16th start this season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed nine hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
• The 28-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with an ERA of 4.14, a 2.452 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.434.
• He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
• Brubaker has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Brewers have scored 342 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They have 597 hits, 16th in baseball, with 105 home runs (third in the league).
• The right-hander has allowed the Brewers to go 2-for-18 with a double, a home run and two RBI in five innings this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 28-year-old’s 4.14 ERA ranks 50th, 1.434 WHIP ranks 60th, and 9 K/9 ranks 20th.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 59 times and won 34, or 57.6%, of those games.
• This season, Milwaukee has won 32 of its 49 games, or 65.3%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 39 of their 77 chances.
• The Brewers are 35-42-0 against the spread in their 77 chances this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 59 games this year and have walked away with the win 21 times (35.6%) in those games.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 18 times in 53 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 31 of their 75 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Pirates are 35-40-0 against the spread in their 75 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has gone yard 15 times in the 2022 campaign while knocking in 47 runs, both totals that lead the Brewers.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Tellez is 19th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .252 to lead his team.
• Yelich ranks 112th in homers and 135th in RBI on the season.
• Yelich heads into this game looking for his ninth game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .316 with two doubles, eight walks and four RBI.
• Willy Adames has hit a team-best 15 home runs.
• Andrew McCutchen has nine doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks while hitting .244.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Reynolds paces the Pirates in home runs (15) and runs batted in (31).
• Reynolds’ home run total places him 19th in the majors, and he is 104th in RBI.
• Reynolds has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .316 with three home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes’ .262 batting average leads his team.
• Hayes ranks 243rd in homers and 152nd in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Daniel Vogelbach has seven doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 29 walks while batting .220.
• Jack Suwinski is hitting .209 with seven doubles, 12 home runs and 17 walks.