Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/1/2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates (31-45) and Michael Perez (3 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+170) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers (44-34) on Friday at 7:05 PM ET. Corbin Burnes takes the mound for Milwaukee while Roansy Contreras is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +170 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+170) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Roansy Contreras
• Game Day: Friday, July 1, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

• Burnes makes the start for the Brewers, his 16th of the season. He is 6-4 with a 2.41 ERA and 119 strikeouts in 93 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Saturday, the righty tossed 7 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.41, with 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opponents are batting .192 against him.
• Burnes is seeking his fourth quality start in a row.
• Burnes will aim to go five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing.
• He will face a Pirates offense that ranks 28th in the league with 282 runs while batting .221 as a unit. It has a collective .373 slugging percentage (25th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 84 home runs (13th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Pirates this season, Burnes has pitched seven innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits while striking out 10.
• The 27-year-old’s 2.41 ERA ranks seventh, .921 WHIP ranks fourth, and 11.5 K/9 ranks third among qualifying pitchers this season.

Pirates Starter Roansy Contreras

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Contreras (2-1) for his eighth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
• The 22-year-old has pitched in 10 games this season with an ERA of 2.76 and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .235.
• Contreras has not earned a quality start in seven starts this season.
• Contreras has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Brewers have scored 349 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They have 609 hits, 17th in baseball, with 105 home runs (third in the league).
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Brewers in one game, and they have gone 1-for-10 with a home run and an RBI over three innings.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have been favorites in 60 games this season and won 34 (56.7%) of those contests.
• Milwaukee has a record of 8-2, a 80% win rate, when favored by -201 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 66.8% chance to win.
• Games involving Milwaukee have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 40 of 78 chances this season.
• The Brewers are 35-43-0 ATS in their 78 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been victorious in 22, or 36.7%, of the 60 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win six times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +170 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 37% chance of pulling out a win.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 32 of their 76 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Pirates are 36-40-0 against the spread in their 76 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Brewers best power option comes in the form of Rowdy Tellez and his 15-home-run 48-RBI season, both team highs.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Tellez ranks 21st in homers and 17th in RBI.
• Christian Yelich is batting .254 to pace his team.
• Yelich is 115th in homers and 131st in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Yelich has nine games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .359 with two doubles, a triple, seven walks and five RBI.
• Willy Adames has launched a team-high 15 homers.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .252 with 11 doubles, seven home runs and 23 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the lineup with a batting average of .258, and paces the Pirates in home runs, with 15 and runs batted in with 31.
• In all of MLB, Reynolds ranks 21st in homers and 105th in RBI.
• Reynolds has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with three home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .258 to lead the lineup.
• Hayes ranks 249th overall in homers and 153rd in RBI this year.
• Daniel Vogelbach is hitting .222 with eight doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 30 walks.
• Jack Suwinski has seven doubles, 13 home runs and 18 walks while batting .216.