Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/3/2022

Christian Yelich will look to extend his 11-game hitting streak when the Milwaukee Brewers (45-35) take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (32-46). The Brewers are listed as -169 favorites on the moneyline for the contest, which starts at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday, live from PNC Park. Brandon Woodruff gets the starting nod for Milwaukee while Jose Quintana is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +143 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+143) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: José Quintana
• Game Day: Sunday, July 3, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Brandon Woodruff

• Woodruff (6-3 with a 4.44 ERA and 63 strikeouts in 48 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Brewers, his 11th of the season.
• His last time out came on Tuesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when the righty went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up two hits.
• The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.44, with 11.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 10 games this season. Opponents have a .234 batting average against him.
• Woodruff has two quality starts under his belt this season.
• Woodruff is trying to record his seventh start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
• The opposing Pirates offense has a collective .221 batting average, and is 28th in the league with 561 total hits and 27th in MLB action with 291 runs scored. It has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.372) and ranks 14th in home runs (86) in all of MLB.
• Woodruff has a 3.6 ERA and a 1.2 WHIP against the Pirates this season in 10 innings pitched, allowing a .211 batting average over two appearances.

Pirates Starter José Quintana

• The Pirates’ Quintana (1-4) will make his 16th start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.20 and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .244 in 15 games this season.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his third quality start in a row.
• Quintana will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
• The Brewers rank eighth in MLB with 372 runs scored this season. They have a .238 batting average this campaign with 112 home runs (third in the league).
• The Brewers have gone 4-for-19 with a home run and an RBI in five innings this season against the left-hander.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 62 times and won 35, or 56.5%, of those games.
• This season, Milwaukee has won 16 of its 26 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -169 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 62.8%.
• Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 42 of their 80 chances.
• The Brewers are 36-44-0 against the spread in their 80 chances this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 23, or 37.1%, of the 62 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 11-25 when favored by +143 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 41.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Contests with Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 34 of 78 chances this season.
• The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 37-41-0 in 78 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers in home runs (16) and runs batted in (53).
• Tellez is 19th in home runs and 10th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Yelich is batting .256 with 11 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 40 walks.
• Yelich is 97th in home runs and 123rd in RBI in the bigs.
• Yelich carries an 11-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 games he is batting .395 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, nine walks and seven RBI.
• Willy Adames paces the Brewers with 16 home runs.
• Andrew McCutchen’s .261 batting average is a team-high mark.
• McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .391 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the lineup with a batting average of .257, while pacing the Pirates in home runs, with 15 and runs batted in with 32.
• Reynolds is 27th in homers and 104th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .256 with 15 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 28 walks.
• Hayes is currently 250th in home runs and 157th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Daniel Vogelbach has eight doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 31 walks while batting .224.
• Jack Suwinski has seven doubles, 13 home runs and 19 walks while hitting .214.