Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/8/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (47-37) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-49) on Friday to start a three-game series, with the first pitch at 8:10 PM ET from American Family Field. The Brewers are listed as -223 favorites, while the underdog Pirates have +184 odds on the moneyline. Milwaukee’s Aaron Ashby and Pittsburgh’s JT Brubaker have been named the starters for this contest.

Brewers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +184 after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+184) and Over (8.5)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: JT Brubaker
• Game Day: Friday, July 8, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Aaron Ashby

• Ashby gets the start for the Brewers, his 10th of the season. He is 1-6 with a 4.60 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 58 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when the lefty tossed 3 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing five hits.
• In 15 games this season, the 24-year-old has put up a 4.60 ERA and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .252 to opposing batters.
• Ashby is trying to pick up his second quality start of the year in this outing.
• Ashby will try to secure his fifth outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 3.3 innings per appearance.
• The opposing Pirates offense has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.369) and ranks 14th in MLB play with 89 home runs. It has a collective .220 batting average, and is 29th in MLB with 595 total hits and 28th in MLB play scoring 301 runs.
• Head-to-head against the Pirates this season, Ashby has thrown 9 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs on six hits while striking out 12.

Pirates Starter JT Brubaker

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Brubaker (2-7) for his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, June 30, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.28, a 2.485 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.439 in 16 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start four times in 16 starts this season.
• Brubaker will look to pitch five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
• The Brewers have scored 383 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB. They have 657 hits, 16th in baseball, with 116 home runs (fourth in the league).
• The Brewers have gone 9-for-43 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and six RBI in two games against the right-hander this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have won 37 out of the 66 games, or 56.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, Milwaukee has won seven of its 10 games, or 70%, when favored by at least -223 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 69% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 84 opportunities.
• The Brewers have an ATS record of 38-46-0 in 84 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 67 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (37.3%) in those games.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 5-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +184 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 35.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 84 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Pirates have posted a record of 40-44-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Brewers best power option comes in the form of Rowdy Tellez and his 17-home-run 55-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Tellez is 110th in batting average, 96th in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .251 to pace his team.
• Of all major league hitters, Yelich ranks 109th in home runs and 123rd in RBI.
• Willy Adames is hitting .207 with 12 doubles, 16 home runs and 24 walks.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .249 with 12 doubles, seven home runs and 24 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 15 home runs and 32 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .257.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds’ home run total is 29th and his RBI tally ranks 113th.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has 15 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 29 walks while batting .250.
• Hayes ranks 257th in home runs and 166th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Daniel Vogelbach has nine doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .242.
• Jack Suwinski has nine doubles, 14 home runs and 21 walks while batting .215.