Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/9/2022

Seeking their 49th win of the year, the Milwaukee Brewers (48-37) are favorites (-252) on the moneyline when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-50) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Brandon Woodruff will get the ball for Milwaukee while Pittsburgh counter with Zach Thompson.

Brewers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +208 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+208) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Zach Thompson
• Game Day: Saturday, July 9, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Brandon Woodruff

• Woodruff (7-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 71 strikeouts in 54 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his 12th of the season.
• In his most recent time out on Sunday, the righty went 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates while surrendering six hits.
• In 11 games this season, the 29-year-old has a 3.95 ERA and 11.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .237 to opposing batters.
• Woodruff is trying to pick up his fourth quality start of the season.
• Woodruff will try to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.3 innings per outing.
• He will face a Pirates offense that ranks 28th in the league with 304 runs while batting .220 as a squad. It has a collective .369 slugging percentage (28th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 90 home runs (13th in MLB).
• Woodruff has pitched 16 innings, giving up four earned runs on 14 hits while striking out 23 against the Pirates this season.

Pirates Starter Zach Thompson

• The Pirates will send Thompson (3-6) to the mound for his 14th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
• The 28-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 4.42 and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .252.
• In 13 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
• Thompson has six starts of five or more innings this season in 13 chances. He averages 4.1 innings per outing.
• The Brewers are batting .235 this season, 22nd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .412 (ninth in the league) with 117 home runs.
• The Brewers have gone 10-for-34 with two doubles, two home runs and eight RBI in 8 2/3 innings this season against the right-hander.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have won 38, or 56.7%, of the 67 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Milwaukee has a record of 2-2 when favored by -252 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Brewers have a 71.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 85 games with a total.
• The Brewers are 38-47-0 against the spread in their 85 chances this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been victorious in 25, or 36.8%, of the 68 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious three times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +208 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 32.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 35 of their 85 opportunities.
• The Pirates are 41-44-0 against the spread in their 85 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has gone yard 17 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 55 runs, both totals that lead the Brewers.
• Of all batters in MLB, Tellez is 18th in homers and 11th in RBI.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .248 with 11 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 43 walks.
• Yelich is 111th in home runs and 127th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Willy Adames has hit a team-high 17 homers.
• Adames has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .158 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen’s .254 batting average is a team-high mark.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the lineup with a batting average of .263, and paces the Pirates in home runs, with 15 and runs batted in with 32.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Reynolds’ home run total ranks 30th and his RBI tally ranks 114th.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .247 with 15 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 30 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Hayes is 257th in home runs and 166th in RBI.
• Daniel Vogelbach has nine doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .245.
• Jack Suwinski is batting .212 with nine doubles, 14 home runs and 22 walks.