Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/30/2022

Willy Adames is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the Milwaukee Brewers (68-59) as they get set to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (48-80) on Tuesday. The Brewers enter the matchup as -182 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from American Family Field at 8:10 PM ET. Adrian Houser will get the ball for Milwaukee while Pittsburgh counter with Mitch Keller.

Brewers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +155. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) and Over (9)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Adrian Houser
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 30, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Adrian Houser

• The Brewers are sending Houser (4-9) to the mound to make his 17th start of the season. He is 4-9 with a 5.15 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 78 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s last appearance was on Thursday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he tossed 2 1/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 29-year-old has a 5.15 ERA and 7 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .275 to opposing hitters.
• Houser has registered five quality starts this year.
• Houser is trying to secure his 11th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
• He will match up with a Pirates squad that is hitting .221 as a unit (29th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .362 (28th in MLB) with 126 total home runs (18th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Pirates this season, Houser has pitched 2 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits.

Pirates Starter Mitch Keller

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Keller (4-10) for his 23rd start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed seven hits in 3 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.50, a 2.205 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.483 in 24 games this season.
• He has started 22 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in eight of them.
• Keller has started 22 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 14 times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The Brewers rank 22nd in MLB with a .236 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks eighth in the league (.414) and 180 home runs.
• The right-hander has allowed the Brewers to go 9-for-38 with a double, two home runs and five RBI in 10 innings this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 98 times this season and won 56, or 57.1%, of those games.
• Milwaukee has a record of 19-13 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -182 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 64.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of their 127 games with a total.
• In 127 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 53-74-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 39, or 35.5%, of the 110 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Pittsburgh has won 17 of 47 games when listed as at least +155 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 39.2% chance of pulling out a win.
• Contests with Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 59 of 129 chances this season.
• In 129 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 64-65-0 against the spread.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers with 27 homers on the year. He’s also hitting .231 with 75 RBI.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Tellez ranks 14th in homers and 23rd in RBI.
• Tellez brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .188 with a home run, five walks and an RBI.
• Christian Yelich is batting .263 to pace his team.
• Yelich ranks 132nd in homers and 128th in RBI on the season.
• Yelich heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .391 with two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Adames paces the Brewers with 76 runs batted in.
• Adames is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .435 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen has 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .244.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the lineup with a batting average of .254, and leads the Pirates in home runs, with 21 and runs batted in with 48.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Reynolds’ home run total is 33rd and his RBI tally ranks 104th.
• Reynolds brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a triple, a home run and two RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .248 with 20 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 39 walks.
• Hayes is 227th in home runs and 183rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Ben Gamel is hitting .245 with 18 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 35 walks.
• Michael Chavis is batting .241 with 13 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 14 walks.