Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/31/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (68-60) will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (49-80) on Wednesday at 2:10 PM ET. Willy Adames will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the favored Brewers (-178) when the game gets underway at American Family Field. Freddy Peralta starts for Milwaukee while Zach Thompson is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

After looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +151. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+151) and Over (9)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Zach Thompson
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 31, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Freddy Peralta

• Peralta gets the start for the Brewers, his 14th of the season. He is 4-3 with a 3.69 ERA and 70 strikeouts in 63 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Saturday, the right-hander went 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Chicago Cubs without surrendering a hit.
• In 13 games this season, the 26-year-old has a 3.69 ERA and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .195 to opposing batters.
• Peralta is seeking his third straight quality start.
• Peralta will try to build on a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.3 frames per outing).
• The opposing Pirates offense has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.362) and is 18th in MLB play with 127 home runs. It has a collective .221 batting average, and is 29th in MLB with 935 total hits and 28th in MLB action scoring 462 runs.
• Peralta has a 1.86 ERA and a 0.931 WHIP against the Pirates this season in 9 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .194 batting average over two appearances.

Pirates Starter Zach Thompson

• Thompson (3-10) will take the mound for the Pirates, his 22nd start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Friday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits to the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 28-year-old has pitched in 24 games this season with an ERA of 5.33 and 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .280.
• In 21 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• Thompson will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Brewers rank 21st in MLB with a .236 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks eighth in the league (.414) and 181 home runs.
• The right-hander has faced the Brewers four times this season, allowing them to go 20-for-70 with four doubles, five home runs and 13 RBI in 17 2/3 innings.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 99 times and won 56, or 56.6%, of those games.
• Milwaukee has a record of 21-17 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -178 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 64%.
• Games involving Milwaukee have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 65 of 128 chances this season.
• The Brewers have an ATS record of 53-75-0 in 128 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 40, or 36%, of the 111 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 17 times in 52 chances when named as an underdog of at least +151 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 39.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 59 of 130 chances this season.
• The Pirates have posted a record of 65-65-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers with 27 home runs.
• Of all batters in baseball, Tellez is 14th in home runs and 23rd in RBI.
• Tellez takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .188 with a home run, five walks and an RBI.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .261 to pace his team.
• Yelich ranks 135th in home runs in the majors, and 132nd in RBI.
• Adames has racked up a team-best 76 runs batted in.
• Andrew McCutchen has 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .244.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 21 home runs and 48 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .256.
• In all of MLB, Reynolds is 35th in home runs and 106th in RBI.
• Reynolds carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a triple, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .245 with 20 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 40 walks.
• Hayes is currently 229th in home runs and 187th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Ben Gamel is batting .243 with 18 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 36 walks.
• Michael Chavis is hitting .244 with 13 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 14 walks.