Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/4/2022

Christian Yelich is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the Milwaukee Brewers (57-46) as they get set to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-62) on Thursday. The Brewers enter the matchup as -250 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from PNC Park at 12:35 PM ET. Brandon Woodruff takes the mound for Milwaukee while Zach Thompson is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +206 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+206) and Over (8)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Zach Thompson
• Game Day: Thursday, August 4, 2022
• Game Time: 12:35 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Brandon Woodruff

• Woodruff will look to claim his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Brewers, his 16th of the season. He is 9-3 with a 3.55 ERA and 101 strikeouts through 78 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out was on Friday against the Boston Red Sox, when the righty threw 6 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
• The 29-year-old has a 3.55 ERA and 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .224 to opposing hitters.
• Woodruff is looking to claim his third straight quality start in this game.
• Woodruff will try to pitch five or more innings for his seventh straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
• He will take the hill against a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 738 total hits (on a .218 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .363 (28th in MLB) with 104 total home runs (17th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Pirates this season, Woodruff has pitched 22 innings, giving up seven earned runs on 18 hits while striking out 32.

Pirates Starter Zach Thompson

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Thompson (3-8) for his 18th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up seven earned runs and allowed 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 5.09, a 1.719 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.475 in 18 games this season.
• In 17 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• Thompson has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Brewers are batting .241 this season, 17th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .419 (sixth in the league) with 143 home runs.
• The right-hander has allowed the Brewers to go 16-for-53 with three doubles, three home runs and 10 RBI in 13 1/3 innings this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have been favorites in 81 games this season and won 46 (56.8%) of those contests.
• Milwaukee has a record of 4-4 when favored by -250 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 71.4% chance to win.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of their 103 opportunities.
• The Brewers are 44-59-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been underdogs in 87 games this season and have come away with the win 32 times (36.8%) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 5-3 when favored by +206 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 32.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 104 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Pirates have posted a record of 54-50-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has put up a team-best 21 home runs and 68 runs batted in.
• Among all MLB hitters, Tellez ranks 114th in batting average, 91st in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging.
• Yelich is hitting .263 to lead his team.
• Yelich ranks 152nd in home runs and 148th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Yelich heads into this game looking for his 12th game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 outings he is batting .357 with five doubles, a triple, nine walks and four RBI.
• Willy Adames has put up a team-high 21 home runs.
• Adames is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .318 with two doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .256 with 19 doubles, 10 home runs and 33 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 16 home runs and 33 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .255.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds’ home run total ranks 41st and his RBI tally is 162nd.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has 17 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 37 walks while batting .247.
• Hayes ranks 222nd in home runs and 172nd in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Michael Chavis has racked up a team-high 33 runs batted in.
• Ben Gamel has 12 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 30 walks while batting .232.