Brewers vs. Rays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/9/2022

by | Aug 9, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Brewers vs. Rays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/9/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (58-50), led by Keston Hiura on a two-game home run streak, are -165 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (58-50). First pitch is set for 8:10 PM ET Tuesday, live from American Family Field. Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta gets the start, and he’ll go against Tampa Bay’s Jimmy Yacabonis.

Brewers vs. Rays Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -165 +145 8 -105 -115 -1.5 +125 -145

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Rays

We have the Rays on the moneyline at +145 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+145) and Over (8)

Brewers vs. Rays Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Jimmy Yacabonis
  • Game Day: Tuesday, August 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Matchup

Peralta Yacabonis
9 GS 0
3-2 W-L 1-1
4.46 ERA 9.00
42.1 IP 10.0
15 BB 5
53 SO 17

Brewers Starter Freddy Peralta

  • Peralta gets the start for the Brewers, his 10th of the season. He is 3-2 with a 4.46 ERA and 53 strikeouts through 42 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Wednesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he went 3 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.46, with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in nine games this season. Opponents are batting .228 against him.
  • Peralta enters this game with two quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Peralta will try to pick up his sixth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • He will match up with a Rays offense that ranks 20th in MLB with 867 total hits (on a .239 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .378 (23rd in MLB) with 96 total home runs (24th in MLB).

Rays Starter Jimmy Yacabonis

  • The Rays will send out Yacabonis for his first start of the season.
  • The 30-year-old righty will start for the first time this campaign after coming out of the bullpen 10 times.
  • He has an ERA of 9.00, a batting average against of .333 and 15.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 10 games this season.
  • The Brewers rank eighth in MLB with 500 runs scored this season. They have a .240 batting average this campaign with 151 home runs (third in the league).

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have been favored 86 times and won 47, or 54.7%, of those games.
  • This season, Milwaukee has won 25 of its 44 games, or 56.8%, when favored by at least -165 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 62.3% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 108 games with a total.
  • The Brewers have an ATS record of 45-63-0 in 108 games with a spread this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rays have won in 15, or 44.1%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Tampa Bay has been listed as an underdog of +145 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 40.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 51 of their 108 opportunities.
  • The Rays have an against the spread record of 49-59-0 in 108 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez paces the Brewers in home runs (22) and runs batted in (70).
  • Tellez’s home runs put him 18th in MLB, and he is 10th in RBI.
  • Christian Yelich has a club-best .263 batting average.
  • Yelich ranks 157th in homers and 160th in RBI on the season.
  • Willy Adames leads the Brewers with 22 home runs.
  • Adames has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .200 with a double, a home run and six RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .252 with 19 doubles, 11 home runs and 37 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rowdy Tellez 103 .240 .323 .479 22 70 86
Christian Yelich 103 .263 .364 .392 8 35 102
Willy Adames 86 .220 .284 .461 22 63 76
Andrew McCutchen 92 .252 .323 .396 11 48 91
Kolten Wong 85 .257 .339 .427 8 28 74

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with a .276 batting average.
  • Diaz ranks 227th in homers and 167th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Randy Arozarena has driven in the most runs for the Rays with 51 runs batted in.
  • Arozarena ranks 86th overall in home runs and 58th in RBI this season.
  • David Peralta is batting .251 with 21 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Isaac Paredes leads the Rays with 14 long balls.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yandy Díaz 96 .276 .390 .384 5 34 92
Randy Arozarena 103 .258 .319 .420 12 51 102
David Peralta 93 .251 .313 .452 12 43 76
Isaac Paredes 64 .222 .295 .467 14 31 47
Ji-Man Choi 80 .251 .354 .401 8 46 67

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